Yesterday was a rough day in the NHL for me. 0-4 ATS from published picks. My personal plays saved me, taking Montreal U2.5TT and Toronto ML. Yesterdays plays were: TOR PL, CAL, BOS, and San Jose.
Boston-125 continues their road trip, heading up to Buffalo+110. Boston is coming off a blow out loss to Washington. I look for them to be pissed and they are going to take it out on Buffalo. Boston has an edge in a better Goalie and they were just embarrassed. They also have the advantage of having that first game out of the way. I was on Boston last night and with them not playing well, getting shut-out 7-0, I look for them to bounce back. Boston ML-125. Lean Under 6.
Carolina-165 is at home to play the New York Islanders+140. Carolina has a slight edge head to head in their last 30, winning 17. They have a slightly better goalie and are at home. Lean Carolina and OVER 6.
Washington+140 is coming off a 7-0 win last night where they shut out the Bruins at home. They head to Pittsburgh-165 to take on the Penguins. The Penguins and Capitals met last season in the Eastern Conference 2nd round. It went 6 games, with the Capitals escaping with a 2-1 OT victory. Over their last 30 games as an away dog, Washington has not fared well in Pittsburgh, going 11-19. I lean Pittsburgh to get some slight revenge for the Capitals ending their season last year on their ice. Lean on the Over 6 goals.
Chicago-120 is heading to Ottawa+100 where they will both be playing their first game. Ottawa traded away one of their star players, Karlsson a couple of weeks ago. They will be adjusting to the ice without him. Chicago has had some injuries to their goalie and as a result will start Cam Ward. The numbers say to take Chicago, but it should be noted that Senators coach, Guy Boucher is 4-0-1 in season-opening games. In spite of that, I lean Chicago and will take the Over 6. The Senators are just 1-9 at home when the total is 6 or more over the last three seasons.
Columbus-135 heads to Detroit+115, to take on the Red Wings. The O/U is 5.5. The last 10 these two teams have played, the O/U is 2-7-1. Theses two teams play each other close. Columbus is 5-0 SU and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 when playing in Detroit. Columbus will have their backup goalie starting tonight. Detroit has had a lot of injury issues, forcing their younger players into the starting lineup and more expanded roles. History tells us this will be a close game. I am taking Columbus and the Under 5.5.
Nashville-160 is taking on the Rangers in New York+140. The O/U is set at 6. In the last 3 years Nashville is 14-5 on the road when the total is 6 or more. Head to head the Rangers have had the advantage as of late. But Nashville has the Goalie edge here and so I am taking Nashville-160.
Winnipeg Jets-110 travel to Saint Louis to take on the Blues-110. The O/U is set at 6. Over the last 3 years, Winnipeg is 7-2 vs. St. Louis. Add that to what I think Winnipeg as having a decisive advantage at Goalie and I will take them, Winnipeg.
I am running out of time and I need to get this out, so I am taking Dallas over Arizona. I am taking Colorado over Minnesota. and I am taking Las Vegas on the PL over Philadelphia.
Good Luck to All!!!
NUMBERS
The ratings are from 0-12. 0 being even and 12 being the best.
What do the numbers say? Here are the leans from the numbers:
Boston+12, Carolina+4, Pittsburgh+2, Chicago+7, Columbus+4, Nashville+10, Winnipeg+4, Dallas+10, Colorado+4, and Las Vegas+6.
*Be cautious about laying anything over -175. Look to either not play the game, or to go with the Puck Line (-1.5). Some books let you change the PL to -1 for reduced juice.
