Tonight in the NHL, we’re in for a thrilling lineup of two playoff games. Let’s delve into the matchups that promise excitement and highlight some intriguing player props worth your attention.
Matchups:
Florida Panthers @ Tampa Bay Lightning
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Series: Florida Panthers 2 – Tampa Bay Lightning 0
Team
Opening ML
Current ML
Spread
Total
Florida Panthers
-115
-105
+1.5 (-270)
o6.0 (-112)
Tampa Bay Lightning
-105
-115
-1.5 (+220)
u6.0 (-108)
FLA: Sergei Bobrovsky [CONFIRMED]
TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy [EXPECTED]
Carolina Hurricanes @ New York Islanders
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Series: Carolina Hurricanes 2 – New York Islanders 0
Team
Opening ML
Current ML
Spread
Total
Carolina Hurricanes
-155
-166
-1.5 (+164)
o5.5 (-105)
New York Islanders
+130
+140
+1.5 (-198)
u5.5 (-115)
CAR: Frederick Anderson [EXPECTED]
NYI: Ilya Sorokin [CONFIRMED]
Picks:
Bryaden Point over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-135) – DraftKings
Brayden Point occupies a key role on Tampa Bay’s top line alongside Anthony Duclair and Nikita Kucherov, forming a formidable trio. Furthermore, he plays a significant part on Tampa Bay’s first Powerplay unit, which is expected to capitalize on numerous opportunities in tonight’s game. In the first two games of the series, the Lightning had eight Power Play opportunites, scoring on the man advanatge in each game.
Point has consistently met his shots on goal quota in four out of his last five games. In the opening game, he managed four shots on goal out of five shot attempts and also led the Tampa Bay forwards in ice time. In the second game, he only had one shot on goal out of four shot attempts.
At home this season, Point was much better recording over 2.5 shots on goal in 73.2% of the games compared to just 42.5% on the road.
Additionally, Point boasts an impressive track record against Florida, recording over 2.5 shots on goal in ten of their last thirteen encounters.
Bo Horvat over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-112) – BetRivers
Bo Horvat occupies a key role on New Yorks’s top line alongside Casey Cizikas and Mathew Barzal, forming a formidable trio. Furthermore, he plays a significant part on New York’s first Powerplay unit. In the first two games of the series, the Islanders only had three Power Play opportunites, but did score on their lone man advanatge last game.
Horvat has consistently met his shots on goal quota in four out of his last five games. In the opening game, he managed five shots on goal out of six shot attempts. In the second game, he had three shots on goal out of four shot attempts. In each of the first two games of the series Horvat led the New York forwards in ice time.
Kyle Palmeri over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-110) – DraftKings
Kyle Palmeri occupies a key role on New Yorks’s second line alongside Hudson Fasching and Brock Nelson, forming a formidable trio. Furthermore, he plays a significant part on New York’s first Powerplay unit. In the first two games of the series, the Islanders only had three Power Play opportunites, but did score on their lone man advanatge last game.
Palmeri has consistently met his shots on goal quota in four out of his last five games. In the opening game, he managed just two shots on goal out of four shot attempts. In the second game, he had four shots on goal out of six shot attempts. Palmeri was fanastic in the second game leading the team in expected goals with 1.16.
At home this season, Palmeri was better recording over 2.5 shots on goal in 51.2% of the games compared to just 43.9% on the road.
Longshot Same Game Parlays:
I’ve received a few DMs over the last few days requesting some same game parlays. Here are my personal plays for tonight’s games. Given that these are longshot parlays, I suggest placing 0.25 units or less on them.
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.
We have a great show for you today! Ron @RonAceSports from the inside blitz comes back to break down some NFL draft plays! First, Ron and Kiev talk about what they think might happen with JJ McCarthy. Next, Ron talks about his drat groupings and who picks picked where. Then, the guys get into what some particular teams will do with their pick. After that, Ron and Kiev give out some FREE PLAYS for the 2024 NFL Draft! Finally, Kiev talks a little bit about Reggie Bush getting his Heisman trophy back! Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
Use Promo Code Baseball24 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY MLB BASEBALL PACKAGE or 50% OFF ANY MONTHLY PACKAGE for the rest of the 2024 season! Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/Offer expires August 30th 2024
If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves! Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription!
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Tonight in the NHL, we’re in for a thrilling lineup of three playoff games. Let’s delve into the matchups that promise excitement and highlight some intriguing player props worth your attention.
Matchups:
Boston Bruins @ Toronto Maple Leafs
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Series: Boston Bruins 1 – Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Team
Opening ML
Current ML
Spread
Total
Boston Bruins
-115
-108
+1.5 (-278)
o6.0 (-102)
Toronto Maple Leafs
-105
-112
-1.5 (+225)
u6.0 (-118)
Following Boston’s victory in Game 1, the Leafs leveled the series by clinching a 3-2 win in the second game. Auston Matthews emerged as Toronto’s standout player, playing a pivotal role in all three of the Leafs’ goals. Meanwhile, Ilya Samsonov showed significant improvement in Game 2, recording a +0.51 Goals Saved Above Expected (GSAx). The Bruins opted for Linus Ulmark in the second game, which didn’t yield favorable results as he ended with a -0.03 GSAx, contrasting Jeremy Swayman’s stellar performance in the series opener.
As for William Nylander, despite participating in Leafs’ practices, he has yet to make an appearance in this postseason, with his status for Game 3 remaining uncertain
BOS: Jeremy Swayman [CONFIRMED]
TOR: Ilya Samsonov [CONFIRMED]
Vegas Golden Knights @ Dallas Stars
Time: 9:30 PM ET
Series: Vegas Golden Knights 1 – Dallas Stars 0
Team
Opening ML
Current ML
Spread
Total
Vegas Golden Knights
+120
+136
+1.5 (-192)
o6.0 (-108)
Dallas Stars
-142
-162
-1.5 (+160)
u6.0 (-112)
In the series opener, the Vegas Golden Knights secured a victory despite being outshot 29-15. Jake Oettinger faced challenges in the net for Dallas, concluding the game with a -1.18 GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected). Notably, Mark Stone made a remarkable return, scoring in his first game back since suffering a lacerated spleen on Feb. 20. Additionally, Noah Hanifin, acquired late in the season, and Jack Eichel both contributed with two assists each for the Golden Knights.
VGK: Logan Thompson [CONFIRMED]
DAL: Jake Oettinger [CONFIRMED]
Los Angeles Kings @ Edmonton Oilers
Time: 10:00 PM ET
Series: Los Angeles Kings 0 – Edmonton Oilers 1
Team
Opening ML
Current ML
Spread
Total
Los Angeles Kings
+150
+160
+1.5 (-115)
o6.0 (-115)
Edmonton Oilers
-180
-192
-1.5 (+130)
u6.0 (-105)
In the opening game of the series, the Edmonton Oilers asserted their dominance, spearheaded by Connor McDavid’s exceptional performance with five assists. Zach Hyman capitalized on McDavid’s playmaking prowess, notching a hat-trick, while Evan Bouchard shone with four assists. Leon Draisaitl and Adam Henrique also made significant contributions, each securing multi-point performances. Adrian Kempe stood out as the sole player on the Kings to tally more than one point.
However, goaltending proved to be a challenge for both teams. Cam Talbot struggled between the pipes for Los Angeles, ending the game with a -1.57 GSAx. Similarly, Stuart Skinner faced difficulties for the Oilers, finishing with a -0.58 GSAx.
LAK: Cam Talbot [CONFIRMED]
EDM: Stuart Skinner [CONFIRMED]
Same Game Parlay:
Auston Matthews over 4.5 Shots on Goal + Max Domi over 1.5 Shots on Goal (+144) – DraftKings
Despite the series standing tied at 1-1, the Maple Leafs have consistently outshot the Bruins in both of the initial two games. In Game 1, Toronto outshot Boston 36-24, and in Game 2, they maintained the trend with a 34-29 shot advantage.
As the series shifts to Toronto for Game 3 after the first two matchups in Boston, the Maple Leafs hold home-ice advantage. In the regular season, Toronto ranked 7th in Shots For per Game (SF/GP), averaging 32.6, while the Bruins ranked 22nd in Shots Against per Game (SA/GP), averaging 30.5. Additionally, at home, the Maple Leafs have been even more prolific, averaging 33.07 SF/GP, while the Bruins have struggled defensively on the road, averaging 31.68 SA/GP.
Auston Matthews has consistently logged over 4.5 shots on goal in both of the series’ initial games. With Nylander absent from the lineup and Marner yet to make a significant impact, the Maple Leafs’ aspirations of advancing beyond the first round hinge heavily on Matthews’ performance. Moreover, Matthews’ recent form has been stellar, bolstered by his impressive track record against Boston, where he has recorded over 4.5 shots in seven of their last eight matchups.
Max Domi has earned a spot on Toronto’s top line alongside Auston Matthews and Tyler Bertuzzi. He has consistently registered over 1.5 shots on goal in both of the series’ opening games. Domi has also showcased strong performance at home recently, tallying over 1.5 shots on goal in four of his last five games. Additionally, his history against Boston is noteworthy, having recorded over 1.5 shots in each of his last five matchups against them.
Player Props:
Jason Robertson over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-135) – DraftKings
Jason Robertson occupies a key role on Dallas’ top line alongside Roope Hintz and Joe Pavelski, forming a formidable trio. Furthermore, he plays a significant part in Dallas’ first Powerplay unit, which is expected to capitalize on numerous opportunities in tonight’s game. In the opening match, the Stars had a couple of Power Play opportunities, setting the stage for Robertson and his teammates to make an impact.
Robertson has consistently met his shots on goal quota in four out of his last five games. In the opening game, he managed three shots on goal out of seven shot attempts and also led Dallas forwards in ice time. Additionally, Robertson boasts an impressive track record against Vegas, recording over 2.5 shots on goal in five of their last seven encounters.
In Game 1, the Stars outshot the Golden Knights 29 to 15. Following their loss in the first game, the Stars will be determined to bounce back in Game 2. Expect them to once again come out with a strong offensive presence, aiming to turn the tide in their favor.
Connor McDavid over 1.5 Points (-130) – DraftKings
Connor McDavid delivered an exceptional performance in the series opener, achieving a remarkable feat by becoming just the 13th player in NHL history to register five assists in a playoff game, marking the first occurrence since 1998.
McDavid’s recent performance highlights his remarkable consistency, having surpassed 1.5 points in seven of his last ten games overall and an impressive nine out of ten games when playing at home. Additionally, his track record against the Los Angeles Kings is equally impressive, with over 1.5 points in nine of their last ten encounters.
With the Oilers poised for a deep postseason run, McDavid’s continued excellence will be crucial. Despite the Kings’ potential shift back to a neutral zone trap strategy in Game 2, McDavid’s skillset presents a challenge for such defensive tactics. His ability to navigate through opposition players and create scoring opportunities remains unmatched, even against a 1-3-1 setup, often leaving him in advantageous one-on-one situations against defenders.
Given the Oilers’ superiority over the Kings, they will be keen to assert their dominance and prevent any chance of a comeback in the series. Expect McDavid to once again showcase his exceptional talent and play a pivotal role in maintaining Edmonton’s momentum.
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.
Happy Wednesday everyone. We’re almost through the first month of MLB Baseball and we’ve righted the ship after a rough first two weeks. 29-32-1 Overall -4.38 Units on the season, but 18-11-1 the last two weeks + 9.31 Units. I expect the recent trend to continue tonight as I have four plays on the card including this free selection. You can find all my plays here @TheOddsbreakers.com
My Analysis today turns to Angel Stadium in Anaheim where the Angels will host the Baltimore Orioles at 4:07 ET. The current line sits at Baltimore -131/ Los Angeles +111 with an Over/Under of 9.5 juiced to the over at -115. Game time temperature will be 66 degrees under clear skies with the wind blowing out to center at around 10mph.
Tyler Anderson will take the hill for the Angels and he is having a great start to the season boasting a 1.42 ERA. That is deceiving however as he has been very lucky so far and his underlying metrics tell a different story. His K/9 sits at 4.97 and his walk rate per nine innings is at 3.2. Add in a 96% LOB percentage and an opponent BABIP of .167 and you’ve got the Regression Fairies waiting to sprinkle some magic blowup dust on his ERA. The xFIP is 5.17 so this seems like as good of a spot as any for someone to come in and pound him. That someone is the Orioles lineup which is one of the best in baseball coming in at second in MLB with an OPS of .775 and they match that number versus left handed pitching. Their bats are stronger from the left hand side, but the overall splits still look good across the board for the Orioles so I anticipate them being able to get to Anderson.
Dean Kremer is on the hill for the Orioles. He has not pitched awful with the exception of one bad outing against the Brewers really blowing up his ratios. He has been prone to the longball giving up 2.05 HR/9 here early in the season. The overall ERA sits at 4.91 with an xFIP at 4.34. The Angels offense has an OPS of .687, and .679 versus right handed pitching. Mike Trout and Taylor Ward are hitting well to begin the season combining for 15 Home Runs, but the rest of the team has only combined for 9 total homers.
With the wind blowing out it is possible both pitchers give up some long balls. Anderson has a fly ball rate at over 50% currently and with the pop in this Orioles lineup and the breeze blowing out it could be an early shower. Kremer isn’t much better showing with a 45.8% fly ball rate. If the game gets tight later the bullpen has been better for the Orioles who sport a half run better bullpen ERA, more strikeouts and less walks from the pen. For me this comes down to the team with the better offense, and I think the Orioles pull away and win this game.
Take Baltimore -131 for 1 Unit, or if you want some plus money on it split a half unit each on the ML and RL
We have a great show for you today! Thor Nystrom @ThorKU joins us to talk some NFL draft from a sports wagering perspective! First, Kiev and Thor discuss their quarterback rankings and why they disagree on someone that is getting a lot of hype for an early first round play. Next, Thor and Kiev discuss some of the position groups and how they will fall into the first round. Then, we get into what certain teams will do with their pick at their position. Will there be some surprise picks or trades? After that, Kiev and Thor talk about some of his FREE PLAYS for the 2024 NFL Draft! Finally, Kiev gives out a long shot that Thor could also see happening at pick 17! Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
Use Promo Code Baseball24 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY MLB BASEBALL PACKAGE or 50% OFF ANY MONTHLY PACKAGE for the rest of the 2024 season! Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/Offer expires August 30th 2024
If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves! Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription!
You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help us out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits and merchandise. Follow us @TheOddsBreakers on social media!
As we inch NFL draft this Thursday April 25th 2024, and once again, there is a lot of speculation on just where these quarterbacks will land. Last year, Will Levis going into the 2nd round was the biggest mock miss of the last few years. He was basically used as a smoke screen while the Tennessee Titans didn’t take the bluff and ended up with their quarterback in the second round. So far, the jury is looking like Levis should have even went later in the draft with his poor performance in 2023. If you know me, then you know that I usually prefer trading down, but I understand that isn’t always possible, so I will try and limit that option. My mock drafts are a little bit different than the marketplace as I like to say what teams “should” do from using my research, and then attempt to predict what teams “will” do based on their tendencies and the marketplace. For example, last year I stated that the Panthers “should” pick CJ Stroud, yet I had their mock picking Bryce Young. A couple things of note, this might be the worst draft for both running backs and tight ends in some time. Here is how my predictions all lay out. For our position totals in the first round, we have 6 quarterbacks, 0 running backs, 1 tight end, 6 wide receivers, 7 offensive lineman, 6 defensive line/edge, 0 Inside Linebacker, 5 Cornerbacks, and 1 Safety. We have 20 offensive players and 12 on defense. Let the games begin!
Best Bets: Total defensive players selected over 10.5 -175 – JJ McCarthy Over 5.5 +120 – 1 star, (long shot Brock Bowers to Jacksonville +10000 – .2 stars)
ROUND 1
1. Chicago Bears
Who they should pick: Caleb Williams, but I do think that there is a sliver of chance that they could get offered a haul from the Commanders to trade down to the two spot and Ryan Poles could possibly bite due to Caleb’s off the field antics. Should they do this? Well, it depends on how much they get. Everyone has a price, but Caleb is my number 1 guy.
Mock Pick: Caleb Williams, QB, USC. Caleb Williams has proven the most and deserves to be the top pick of the draft.
2. Washington Commanders
Who they should pick: Jayden Daniels. I know that he is being compared to Justin Fields, but he looks like a more of an accurate Lamar Jackson to me. The kid can throw the seam routs and he has some extreme NFL speed. My only issue is that his frame is a bit small for the NFL.
Mock Pick: Jayden Daniels, QB, LSU. Also a no brainer. I know there are issues with Jayden Daniel’s agent putting it out on twitter that he is perplexed by Washington wanting to meet with all quarterbacks at once rather than spending quality one on one time with each. I do think that these issues get fixed. The consensus should be correct. Williams 1 and Daniels 2 is how it goes.
3. New England Patriots
Who they should pick: Trade down to take Michael Penix. I do not like how Drake Maye finished his college career. Another big red flag is the fact that he was in the ACC while only amassing 1 win vs ranked teams over the past two years.
Mock pick: Drake Maye, QB, North Carolina. I don’t see the Patriots trading back, even if they have needs at several other positions. Taking Maye secures their future at the NFL’s most important position.
4. Arizona Cardinals
Who they should pick: The Cardinals are looking for the next Larry Fitzgerald, and nobody better than Marvin Harrison JR. This kid has the best demeanor, size, speed, athletic ability, and competitive spirit making him the best player in this drat class.
Mock pick: Marvin Harrison Jr., WR, Ohio State. The Cardinals could trade down, but I think that teams will not want to give up a ton for the 4th quarterback picked in this draft class. Arizona likes Marvin so much that they will hold steady.
5. Los Angeles Chargers
Who they should pick: Jim Harbaugh is a genius coach who knows how to build a football team. No way that he crumbles under any media pressure to draft a wide receiver at this position. I also hear rumors that the Vikings will give up their left nut to trade up for JJ McCarthy. This would be a massive mistake being that they do not pick again until the fourth round.
Mock pick: Joe Alt, OT, Notre Dame. I think that Jim will draft the best OT in this draft class and get his Michigan guys later being that they are not ranked all that high.
6. New York Giants
Who they should pick: The Giants are a mess. They screwed up by paying a backup type quarterback in Danny Dimes a boat load of money to be a starter. Since he is locked up until 2026, I think that the Giants should trade down and draft a corner.
Mock pick: Rome Odunze, WR, Washington. When in Rome, you act like the Romans. Well, this team lost their RB Saquon Barkley and they will want a play maker. I think Slayton is done, so they will go with Rome from Washington. The reason they won’t go with Malik Nabers is that they already have that speedy profile WR in Jalin Hyatt. Odunze is taller and can fight for the ball.
7. Tennessee Titans
Who they should pick: If Titans GM Ron Carthon was smart, he would either A, trade down and draft offensive line, or B, trade Will Levis and draft a good quarterback like Penix or Nix. I have to assume that he makes the wrong decision like most executives and stays with Will Levis.
Mock pick: JC Latham, OT, Alabama. The Titans will most likely go with an offensive lineman because they think that they can protect Levis. JC Latham is the next man in most of the rankings. I don’t mind the pick at all, but at the same time, Will Levis isn’t the answer at quarterback.
8. Atlanta Falcons
Who they should pick: The Falcons did a ton to bolster their team including the QB position in Kirk Cousins. The next most logical move is to get to the quarterback? NO. Get an edge rusher. Atlanta is switching back to a 3-4 defense so I think that Dallas Turner or Jared Verse is the most logical fit.
Mock pick: Dallas Turner, EDGE, Alabama. Atlanta is trying to fool everyone by saying they might take a quarterback. Looking at the GMs these days, I wouldn’t be that shocked if it works. Obviously they really want their top guy on D to fall past the Chargers and the Giants. Dallas Turner would be a great pick for the Falcons. Turner amassed 53 tackles, 11 sacks, 15.5 tackles for a loss with two forced fumbles in 2023. He is a gifted pass rusher off the edge as illustrated with his amazing 40 time of 4.46. Turner can also drop back in coverage.
9. Chicago Bears
Who they should pick: The Bears were only 25th in team sacks per game. They did add Montez Sweat who I would call just an average pass rusher yet a great run stopper. The Bears should trade down, but I would also like to go with edge rusher Laiatu Latu from UCLA who is a 6’4 pass rushing beast with 13 sacks last year at UCLA.
Mock pick: Malik Nabers, WR, LSU This team picked up Keenan Allen on a one year deal, but they did lose Darnell Mooney to free agency. I could see them going WR here to pair back up with Caleb, but I do not love it.
10. New York Jets
Who they should pick: Even without Arron Rogers dramatic injury, this team’s offensive line completely sucked. They did add a few guys in Tyron Smith and Morgan Moses, but it isn’t enough for the prima donna that they had signed last year. Got to go with Troy Fautanu from Washington.
Mock pick: Troy Fautanu, OT/G, Washington. Like a glove! Some say Brock Bowers, but I am saying that this team can’t afford another Rogers injury and the GM can’t afford to be the blame for it. Fautanu is versatile and can play the Tackle or the Guard position. He has the size and speed to pull on run plays as well as the feet and strength to pass block on the edge.
11. Minnesota Vikings
Who they should pick: This is getting repetitive, but Michael Penix is the perfect fit for this system. Penix is a great pocket quarterback who can connect with guys like Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison.
Mock pick: J.J. McCarthy, QB, Michigan. Forest Gump says, stupid is what stupid does. This team will pick JJ McCarthy and throw him into the wolves as soon as Sam Darnold throws an interception.
12. Denver Broncos
Who they should pick: I don’t know if this team could stomach another year without a quarterback. Yes, their defense was terrible for the first seven or eight games, but now without Wilson, they need some hope. Grab Bo Nix. He feels more like the Sean Payton fit of being a pocket quarterback with some scrambling ability.
Mock pick: Bo Nix, QB, Oregon: I think that Sean Payton doesn’t risk his guy going to the Raiders or the Saints. Bo threw for an amazing 4,508 yards over 14 games with 45 touchdowns and only three interceptions. He also ran for six TDs and 234 yards. this man could be the next Drew Breese with legs.
13. Las Vegas Raiders
Who they should pick: The Raiders can’t seriously think that they have a quarterback in Gardner Minshew right? Michael Penix is just sitting there.
Mock Pick: Michael Penix, QB, Washington. The Raiders get it right with Michael Penix. This quarterback immediately makes guys like Davante Adams, Jakobi Meyers, and Michael Mayer much more relevant. Michael had mad passing numbers at number one in total yards at 4903 with 36 touchdowns and 3 interceptions.
14. New Orleans Saints
Who they should pick: The defense needs some love being that they ranked fourth worst in sacks per game. This is against a weak NFC South. Draft Jared Verse from Florida State. He is a beast and can be very explosive in the next level.
Mock pick: Olumuyiwa Fashanu, OT, Penn State. It must absolutely suck to be stuck with Derek Carr, but I guess you might as well try to keep him upright this year. The tea leaves say they go offensive line and Fashanu is the next man up. This guy can jump out of a building with his 32 inch vertical.
15. Indianapolis Colts
Who they should pick: The Texans have gotten some good receivers, so I assume they Colts have to go defense at some point. Why not the best corner in the draft in Quinyon Mitchell?
Mock pick: Quinyon Mitchell, CB, Toledo. Quinyon was a man amongst boys at Toledo. He also had a spectacular combine running a 4.33 forty. In 2022 as a junior Mitchell played in 13 games. He had 31 tackles, 2 assists, and added 14 stops. In the secondary Mitchell forced 16 pass breakups, 5 interceptions, and gave up an elite QB rating when targeted of just 32.4. His senior year was just as impressive. Quinyon has the instincts to be a Sauce Gardner type impact player.
16. Seattle Seahawks
Who they should pick: Seattle’s rush defense was trash last year. Having to face the run heavy 49ers, Rams and Cardinals, this team needs to fix their three technique. Draft Byron Murphy from Texas. I saw him run down a running back at full speed last year in the playoffs. Byron is the best in the bunch.
Mock pick: Byron Murphy II, DT, Texas. Seattle had the second worst rush defense in the NFL. Murphy had the second highest vertical in the combine for defensive Tackles. In 2023, he recorded 29 tackles and five sacks for the Longhorns.
17. Jacksonville Jaguars
Who they should pick: WR Calvin Ridley is gone, but this team signed Gabriel Davis and Devon Duvernay in free agency. Jacksonville was trash against the pass last year yet they at least signed Arik Armstead from the 49ers to bolster that edge. This team should draft my next best corner in Nate Wiggins from Clemson.
Mock pick: Brock Bowers, TE, Georgia. Maybe it’s just that Brock Bowers is so good that he makes the rest of them look deficient, but I do not have a 1st or 2nd round grade on any other tight end in this draft. The Jaguars won’t be able to help themselves seeing that the best tight end over the past three years is still available. I am ok with it, yet I still would rather get the corner.
18. Cincinnati Bengals
Who they should pick:Cincinnati needs a lot, but they lost RT Jonah Williams to free agency. I am ok with cornerback or offensive tackle right here.
Mock pick: Taliese Fuaga, OT, Oregon State. I think that the Bengals get it right here. Fuaga is a low risk pick that can run block with the best of them. Anything protecting Joe Burrow isn’t a bad play in my opinion.
Who they should pick: Trade down, but if not, the Rams need to replace Aaron Donald, and this team FINALLY has a first round pick. I am ok with any defensive line or secondary here.
Mock pick:Kris Jenkins, DE, Michigan. Many say they will go 3-4 edge like a Jared Verse, but I think that they get their Aaron Donald. The Rams are getting a proven winner here. Kris Jenkins fits the Aaron Donald profile with this size and strength. The run game will be huge in this division, so the Rams will try and once again clog up those trenches.
20. Pittsburgh Steelers
Who they should pick:Ok, I’ll stop saying trade down, but this team needs more offensive line help. Take Graham Barton or Amarius Mims from Georgia.
Mock pick: Xavier Worthy, WR, Texas. I could see the Steelers making a bad choice here after trading Deonte Johnson. Worthy is a speedster with that 4.21 forty record at the combine, but the guy is 165lbs soak and wet. Hope he doesn’t take a big hit.
21. Miami Dolphins
Who they should pick: The Fins lost a bunch of talent in free agency. They could go best player here. I suppose defensive end needs some depth and Jared Verse is a beast.
Mock pick: Jared Verse, Edge, Florida State. I think that Verse will be a bit of a project. He is a little raw when it comes to coverage, but in this division he has to help stop guys like Josh Allen and Aaron Rogers.
22. Philadelphia Eagles
Who they should pick: The Eagles traded Hassan Reddick and signed Bryce Huff. There are a few directions that this team could go, but I think that they need to work on that defense that completely crapped the bed in the last half of the season. Go with a corner.
Mock pick: Nate Wiggins, CB, Clemson. Wiggens is the next best corner in this draft, and this would be a perfect fit if the Eagles do not screw this up.
23. Minnesota Vikings
Who they should pick: They will probably try to trade down to get more picks in the 2nd and 3rd round, but for the time being, Minnesota needs secondary since they got Greenard and Van Ginkle in free agency.
Mock Pick pick: Terrion Arnold, CB, Alabama. Terrion is the next ranked cornerback in this draft. He had some nice numbers last year with 61 tackles, five interceptions and 11 passes broken up. The big knock against him is that his forty didn’t go well in the combine at 4.5 seconds, so I think that he hurt his chances as the first cornerback off of the board.
24. Dallas Cowboys
Who they should pick: So weird to see the Cowboys with zero running backs. There is no Bijan Robinson in this draft, so I think Dallas goes offensive line here to make up for losing Tyron Smith.
Mock pick: Amarius Mims, OT, Georgia. If someone restrains Jerry Jones from making dumb decisions, this pick should work out wonderful. Now they just need to get their heads out of their asses in the playoffs.
25. Green Bay Packers
Who they should pick: The Packers need secondary, linebacker and offensive line help. I say go with OT Tyler Guyton from Oklahoma. The man is huge and will be able to stop the majority of the edge rushers in the next level.
Mock pick: Kool-Aid McKinstry, CB, Alabama. I think that the Packers go corner here. They got burned in the slot against teams like Detroit and San Francisco. Kool-Aid not only can play corner, he is also a dangerous punt returner.
26. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Who they should pick: I am not going to overcomplicate this. Tampa lost Shaq Barrett and will need to rush the quarterback.
Mock pick: Chop Robinson, EDGE, Penn State. The next guy up is Chop Robinson who was the best edge rusher on a great Penn State defense before he got hurt. Chop is fast with 4.48 forty speed. Perfect fit for the 3-4 defense.
27. Arizona Cardinals
Who they should pick: Arizona still wants a stud edge rusher and they see Darius Robinson sitting there. Robinson fits the Gannon 4-3 scheme perfectly with his 290 LB frame and his 6’5 height.
Mock pick: Darius Robinson, DE, Missouri. This is a no-brainer to me. Darius looks the part with his huge size and amazing athletic ability. His Senior season amassed 36 total pressures including 22 QB hurries, 6 QB hits, and an impressive 8 sacks.
28. Buffalo Bills
Who they should pick: This team screwed me over last year when I said they needed the best linebacker in the draft. Instead they went tight end. Buffalo greatly paid for it later in the season when the injury bug set it. This team should trade down, but I could see them going WR. Stephon Diggs and Gabe Davis are both gone and it is what it is.
Mock pick: Brian Thomas, WR, LSU. Is it possible that LSU’s receivers are what made Jayden Daniels look so darn good? Thomas edges out Adonai Mitchell in most rankings. At 6’3, 209 lbs with a 4.33 forty, he is very fast, tall at versatile.
29. Detroit Lions
Who they should pick: The Lions once again were straight trash against the pass. They signed another edge rusher in Marcus Davenport, so I think that they go secondary.
Mock: Cooper DeJean, CB/S, Iowa. A perfect Dan Campbell kind of guy. Versatility is key here as DeJean could easily convert into safety as well as play slot corner. This kid may not look the part, but he certainly can play the part on defense.
30. Baltimore Ravens
Who they should pick: The Ravens continue to feel the effects of not winning a super bowl when the quarterback was on a rookie contract. This team lost a bunch to free agency including S Geno Stone and CB Ronald Darby. This team needs pretty much everything.
Mock pick: Javon Bullard, S, Georgia. I think that Baltimore throws us a curve ball here and drafts a safety earlier than the market predicts. If too small at free safety, Bullard can also play cornerback where he also has some experience. Rarely a bad move to draft a top guy that played for Georgia.
31. San Francisco 49ers
Who they should pick: If not trading down, the 49ers have a blessing of riches, yet if they do need to fill some gaps, it is in offensive and the defensive line losing Javon Kinlaw, Chase Young, Arik Armstead and Sebastian Joseph.
Mock pick: Jordan Morgan, OT, Arizona. San Francisco needs depth in their offensive line. The tea leaves are saying Jordan Morgan. This massive kid was a huge reason for the Wildcats offensive success in 2023. I like the pick.
32. Kansas City Chiefs
Who they should pick: The Chiefs need to replace L’Jarius Sneed who was their best pass defender on defense. Now that Rashee Rice is in trouble, I could see them getting a top WR.
Mock pick: Adonai Mitchell, WR, Texas. Ranked as the 4th best wide receiver in many draft boards, this kid as size at 6’2, and speed at a 4.34 forty that translates well into the NFL.
Tonight in the NHL, we’re in for a thrilling lineup of four playoff games. Let’s delve into the matchups that promise excitement and highlight some intriguing player props worth your attention.
Matchups:
Washington Capitals @ New York Rangers
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Series: Washington Capitals 0 – New York Rangers 1
Team
Opening ML
Current ML
Spread
Total
Washington Capitals
+215
+235
+1.5 (-115)
o5.5 (-105)
New York Rangers
-265
-290
-1.5 (-105)
u5.5 (-115)
WSH: Charlie Lindgren [EXPECTED]
NYR: Igor Shesterkin [CONFIRMED]
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Florida Panthers
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Series: Tampa Bay Lightning 0 – Florida Panthers 1
Team
Opening ML
Current ML
Spread
Total
Tampa Bay Lightning
+150
+150
+1.5 (-175)
o5.5 (-125)
Florida Panthers
-180
-180
-1.5 (+145)
u5.5 (+105)
TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy [EXPECTED]
FLA: Sergei Bobrovsky [CONFIRMED]
Colorado Avalanche @ Winnipeg Jets
Time: 9:30 PM ET
Series: Colorado Avalanche 0 – Winnipeg Jets 1
Team
Opening ML
Current ML
Spread
Total
Colorado Avalanche
-105
-120
-1.5 (+205)
o6.5 (+105)
Winnipeg Jets
-115
+100
+1.5 (-250)
u6.5 (-125)
COL: Alexandar Georgiev [CONFIRMED]
WPG: Connor Hellebuyck [CONFIRMED]
Nashville Predators @ Vancouver Canucks
Time: 10:00 PM ET
Series: Nashville Predators 0 – Vancouver Canucks 1
Team
Opening ML
Current ML
Spread
Total
Nashville Predators
+130
+110
+1.5 (-225)
o6.0 (+105)
Vancouver Canucks
-155
-130
-1.5 (+185)
u6.0 (-125)
NSH: Juuse Saros [EXPECTED]
VAN: Casey DeSmith [CONFIRMED]
Sides/Totals:
Colorado Avalanche/ Winnipeg Jets Under 6.5 (-120) – BetMGM
Player Props:
Jacob Truba over 2.5 Blocked Shots (+145) – BetMGM
Jacob Truba has recorded over 2.5 blocked shots in nine of his last ten postseason games. In Game 1, Washington only had 21 shots on goal so I’m expecting them to come out firing tonight as they try to even the series.
Sam Reinhart over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-143) – Caesars
Sam Reinhart is currently stationed on Florida’s top line alongside Vladimir Tarasenko and Aleksander Barkov. Additionally, he holds a position on Florida’s first Powerplay unit, which is poised for several opportunities tonight. In Game 1, the Panthers had three of Power Play chances.
Reinhart has hit his shots on goal mark in nine of his last ten games. In Game 1, Reinhart had five shots on goal in six shot attempts.
In Game 1, the Panthers had 28 shots on goal compared to the Lightning who had just 19. The Panthers have averaged the 2nd most shots on goal during the regular season with 33.64 and have been even better at home with an average of 34.88.
Matthew Tkachuk over 3.5 Shots on Goal (+110) – DraftKings
Matthew Tkachuk is currently stationed on Florida’s second line alongside Carter Verhaeghe and Sam Bennett. Additionally, he holds a position on Florida’s first Powerplay unit, which is poised for several opportunities tonight. In Game 1, the Panthers had three of Power Play chances.
Tkachuk has hit his shots on goal mark in each of his last three games. In Game 1, Tkachuk had four shots on goal in eight shot attempts. He also has some great history against their instate rival recording over 3.5 shots on goal in seven of his last ten matchups against Tampa Bay.
In Game 1, the Panthers had 28 shots on goal compared to the Lightning who had just 19. The Panthers have averaged the 2nd most shots on goal during the regular season with 33.64 and have been even better at home with an average of 34.88.
Ryan O’Reilly over 0.5 Points (-140) – DraftKings
Ryan O’Reilly is currently stationed on Nashville’s top line alongside Filip Forsberg and Gustav Nyquist. His performance leading up to the postseason was impressive, with at least one point recorded in six of the last seven games of the regular season.
In Game 1, O’Reilly led the Predators in ice time and scored once extending his point streak to six games. As a seasoned veteran and key figure in the team’s leadership, I anticipate an inspired performance from O’Reilly, particularly following the disappointing loss in Game 1.
Also, Casey DeSmith is expected to get the start tonight for Vancouver who has been the worse of the two goalies. On the season, DeSmith had a -0.4 GSAx.
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.
Tonight in the NHL, we’re in for a thrilling lineup of four games. Let’s delve into the matchups that promise excitement and highlight some intriguing player props worth your attention.
Matchups:
Toronto Maple Leafs @ Boston Bruins
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Series: Boston Bruins 1 – Toronto Maple Leafs 0
Team
Opening ML
Current ML
Spread
Total
Toronto Maple Leafs
+114
+120
+1.5 (-218)
o5.5 (-125)
Boston Bruins
-137
-142
-1.5 (+180)
u5.5 (+105)
TOR: Ilya Samsonov [CONFIRMED]
BOS: Jeremy Swayman [EXPECTED]
New York Islanders @ Carolina Hurricanes
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Series: Carolina Hurricanes 1 – New York Islanders 0
Team
Opening ML
Current ML
Spread
Total
New York Islanders
+205
+200
+1.5 (-135)
o5.5 (+105)
Carolina Hurricnaes
-255
-245
-1.5 (+114)
u5.5 (-125)
NYI: Semyon Varlamov [CONFIRMED]
CAR: Frederick Anderson [EXPECTED]
Vegas Golden Knights @ Dallas Stars
Time: 9:30 PM ET
Series: Vegas Golden Knights 0 – Dallas Stars 0
Team
Opening ML
Current ML
Spread
Total
Vegas Golden Knights
+118
+120
+1.5 (-225)
o5.5 (-118)
Dallas Stars
-142
-142
-1.5 (+185)
u5.5 (-102)
VGK: Logan Thompson [CONFIRMED]
DAL: Jake Oettinger [CONFIRMED]
Los Angeles Kings @ Edmonton Oilers
Time: 10:00 PM ET
Series: Los Angeles Kings 0 – Edmonton Oilers 0
Team
Opening ML
Current ML
Spread
Total
Los Angeles Kings
+138
+145
+1.5 (-180)
o6.0 (+105)
Edmonton Oilers
-166
-175
-1.5 (+150)
u6.0 (-125)
LAK: Cam Talbot [CONFIRMED]
EDM: Stuart Skinner [CONFIRMED]
Sides/Totals:
Edmonton Oilers in Regulation (-110) – DraftKings
Player Props:
Bo Horvat over 2.5 Shots on Goal (+100) – BetRivers
Bo Horvat is currently stationed on New York’s top line alongside Casey Cizikas and Matthew Barzal. Additionally, he holds a position on New York’s first Powerplay unit, which is poised for several opportunities tonight. In Game 1, the Islanders have a couple of Power Play chances.
Horvat has hit his shots on goal mark in each of his last three games. In Game 1, Horvat had five shots on goal in 6 shot attempts.
In Game 1, the Islanders had 34 shots on goal compared to Carolina who had just 26. The Islanders are already down in this series so I expect them to keep firing tonight.
Matt Barzal over 2.5 Shots on Goal (+100) – BetRivers
Matt Barzal is currently stationed on New York’s top line alongside Casey Cizikas and Bo Horvat. Additionally, he holds a position on New York’s first Powerplay unit, which is poised for several opportunities tonight. In Game 1, the Islanders have a couple of Power Play chances.
Matt Barzal has hit his shots on goal mark in three of his last five games. In Game 1, Barzal had five shots on goal in 6 shot attempts.
Barzal has a great history against Carolina recording over 2.5 shots on goal in four of his last five games against them.
In Game 1, the Islanders had 34 shots on goal compared to Carolina who had just 26. The Islanders are already down in this series so I expect them to keep firing tonight.
Leon Draisaitl over 2.5 Shots on Goal (+105) – BetMGM
Leon Draisaitl is currently stationed on Edmonton’s second line alongside Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Warren Foegele. Additionally, he holds a position on Edmonton’s first Powerplay unit, which is poised for several opportunities tonight.
Draisaitl has a great history against Los Angeles recording over 2.5 shots on goal in each of his six games against them last season in the playoffs.
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.
We have a great show for you today! Kiev O’Neil goes solo to talk about the 2024 NFL Draft! We go pick by pick today based on what teams “should” do and what we think that they “will” do. Lots of FREE PLAYS for the 2024 NFL Draft! Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
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I am gonna go back to the well here on my most common play from last year in backing this pitcher. Zach Gallen is a man amongst boys at the helm. Over the past three seasons, this man hasn’t been below a 3.5 ERA. So far this year, Zach is at a 1.93 FIP over 22 innings. Today he matches up with Giants pitcher Kyle Harrison who is young yet venerable. Kyle has a 4.7 ERA and a 5.03 FIP this year over 23 innings pitched. The Giants rank 16th in wRC+ while the Diamondbacks rank 10th. I know that the Giants are coming off of a devastating loss to the snakes 17-1, but this isn’t exactly the great matchup that will help them get into this game. I am gonna forget the bullpen today and go with the 1st 5.
