UFC on ESPN +36 Free Plays

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Colby Covington -345 vs Tyron Woodley – Colby Covington made a huge splash inthe UFC the last 2 years.  He is an all-star westler and a great technical Fighter.   Tier 1 for sure.   His Only loss was to Usman.  That’s completely understandable.  Now he fights Tyron Woodley who is an upper tier 2 fighter in my opinion.  Woodley is a defensive fighter that waits for his moments to strike.  He has a fine 19-5 record and to be honest.  The price on him this fight is pretty good at +285.  Even at that price tho I still really think Colby wins this fight but there is an angle that pays more.  Both of The Last 6 Woodley fights were 5 round main events and 5 of them went to decision.  5 out of 6 of the last Covington fights went to decision as well.   Covington is a huge favorite of -335 and a better all around technical fighter.  He seems to try to win by decision by scoring points.  He has better striking at 4.2 to Woodley’s 2.4 strikes landed per minute and better take downs at 4.91 to Woodley’s 1.11 per 15 minutes.  This one is going the Distance and Covington wins.

Colby Covington wins by decision (-150) – 2.5 star premium shared play

Khamzat Chimaev -380 vs Gerald Meerschart – I gave this out at -170 and still like it.  Khamzat Chimaev vs Gerald Meerschaert will not be a long fight.   I actually believe they hype on Khamzat and there is a reason why he is a -360 to win here.  Chimaev is up and coming and a beast.   None of Chimaev’s fights have went past a round and a half.  Meerschart is an average fighter but he has a lot of wear and tear on his jaw.  I do not see how Meerschaert lasts past 1.5 rounds this fight at all and he will be Khamzat’s next victim.

Khamzat Chimaev to Win Inside Distance (-170) – 3.5 star premium shared play

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Kiev O'Neil: 20+ years of sports betting experience. Podcast host since 2017. College Football since 2019 412-367-27 UP 58.7U NFL since 2018 249-228-16 up 40U UFC since 2019 82-74-5 up 34.1U I do not necessarily look at myself as being a so called “sharp” sports bettor. Instead I like to think of myself as a great compiler of information who specializes in the Big 10, but also handicaps all NFL, NCAA football, UFC, Basketball, Horse Racing and more! I encourage people to specialize in a conference or division that will help give them the greatest edge in their sports wagers. I am never against a person betting against their favorite teams when the situation is right.