College Football Week 9 Free Plays – Sports Betting

I think this line may be a bit of an over-reaction from what Virginia did with Miami.  Virginia is a bottom feeder in my opinion in the ACC.  They are a net negative -.76 yards per play and have lost to lessor teams that North Carolina by double digits all year long.  UNC is having an amazing year out-scoring their opponents by 13 points per game and have an enormous 1.8 net yards per play advantage.  That is a net 2.6 yards per play for this game.   UNC is still reeling off of their Florida State loss from 2 weeks ago and I think they will be motivated to put one on the Cavaliers here.

Northwestern vs Iowa -2.5 O/U 47 –

This play will be based on pure over-reaction from last Saturday.  Northwestern destroyed a bad Maryland team.  The Terps had 4 turnovers and could not stop the run at all giving the Wildcat’s 6.13 yards per rush.  They just had to dink and dunk on the passing game to pile up the points.  On the other side of the script, Iowa out-gained Purdue and still lost due to a bad fumble that happened when they were driving to go up more than 3 points.   Purdue was able to score and Iowa had no time left for rebuttal.  Peyton Ramsey is the quarterback for Northwestern and he was a good player in Indiana but he didn’t do well when under pressure.  I think that Iowa should be able to get to him this game.   They key to this handicap for me is that Iowa has been well known to stop the run and that is what Northwestern thrived on last week.  Iowa will clean up the turnovers and possibly force some themselves at home.  NU is now jumping up in class and Iowa gets the W past the 2.5.   My power ratings has this game Iowa -4.5.  This is a good number for the Hawkeyes at home.

Virginia Tech vs Louisville +3.5 O/U 67 –

So Louisville finally got their first win against that bad Florida State team.  Well Woopty freaking do as Chris Farley would say.  It was their first ACC win this year putting Louisville in a small let down spot.  The Cardinal’s stats look pretty good on paper at 6.33 yards per play, but when they stepped up and faced tougher competition like Notre Dame, they only were able to put up 7 points and 334 yards.   Now I am not saying that Virginia Tech’s defense is as good as Notre Dame’s but I am saying that it is probably not as far off as it looks.  Virginia Tech’s defense started out quite bad but after the UNC embarrassment, they seemed to get their act together holding Boston college to 14 points and @ Wake Forest to 23.  Louisville’s defense has been trending up as well holding Notre Dame to only 12 points and Florida State to 16.  Because of all this I like the under 67 and was surprised that the line went up from the opener.