Kansas City vs Las Vegas +8 O/U 53 –
I know that Kansas City will probably win this game and it is a road revenge spot but how many points are we actually spotting this team. Even though Andy Reid is great off of a bye week and they have road revenge on their mind, are the Chiefs really 9 points better than the Raiders on a neutral field? We know that Kansas City can turn it on and off but they are the Superbowl champions here and they really don’t have anything to prove in my opinion. KC’s only real weakness is against the run allowing a 4th worst 138 yards per game. The question is, who is going to have the lead? If it’s KC then the Raiders might be toast but if it’s Las Vegas, they will run the ball and control time of possession here. I also think the Raiders played a much harder schedule this year ranking 3rd on Sagarin with Kansas City’s schedule so far ranking 27th. My algorithm has the Chiefs winning 30 to 25 if strength of schedule was even. If you adjust for that it’s more like a 3 point win. Now I do know that both teams have guys in Covid protocols but let’s hope that they are all cleared by gameday. My power ratings have it a 4 point victory for the Chiefs and maybe add a point for revenge. 7 is too much here.
Las Vegas Raiders +8 – 2 star premium shared and sprinkle
Cincinnati vs Washington PK O/U 46.5 –
This is an interesting matchup of 2 teams with major problems on one side of the ball. Washington was more of an unders team I think until recently. Alex Smith is now their quarterback and he tends to force some things. The Bengals are coming off of a terrible performance against the Steelers but at least, it’s the Steelers. They were 0-13 on 3rd down and they should clean that up this week. Joe Burrow still has all of those weapons like Tee Higgens, Taj Boyd and AJ Green to score in games. Mixon might even be back this game. The problem with the Bengals is that their defense is so bad allowing 28 points per game and almost 400 yards. Washington has a bad offense thought but a pretty good defense. Even though Washington has a decent defense, they still give up over 24 points per game. The Bengals give up 27. Both teams are top 11 in number of plays per game. I can see this game pretty close and the total score going into the 50s simply because this game is being played in Washington making it so the team formally known as the Redskins should be able to score against a bad D.
Cinn/Wash over 46.5 – 2 star premium shared play
Baltimore vs Tennessee +6 O/U 48.5 –
This should be one of the better games this Sunday in my opinion. Baltimore has customers of injuries and troubles on defense this year. If their big man Brandon Williams can’t play in the middle, then I don’t see how Henry doesn’t run right over them like he did last year in the playoffs. The Ravens gave up 177 yards on the ground to the Patriots last week which is bad even in a rain storm. The weather for this game at least looks very promising. I expect some points from Baltimore as well because this is a revenge spot for them. Both of these teams average 27 points per game. Baltimore only give’s up 18 points per game but with the banged up defense they will give up more this week. The Titans give up 26 points per game on average so I can see Baltimore scoring at home here.
Baltimore vs Tennessee over 48.5 – 1.5 star premium shared
Refuse to lose 6pt Teaser is 6-4 so far this season no thanks to Baltimore last week. Tease the Vikings down to -1 with the Packers up to +8. Colts have had a very easy schedule ranking 32nd and they don’t run the ball well. The Vikings are really looking good lately and the Cowboys are in shambles. 2.5 star premium shared play
Bow to the Gambling Gods for fun Parlay is 2-6 – NCAA: Army -4 -110, Rice vs North Texas Over 63 -110, Iowa State ML -384, Troy ML -453, Wisconsin vs Northwestern Over 43.5 -110, Minnesota Vikings -320, Los Angeles Chargers -433. This pays 16.5-1
