Premiums, 6.9

416

 

Nice day! 3-1 in the NBA for nearly +2 units and our Dodgers play (1.5 units) hit, too! Let’s keep rollin’! Approaching MLB lightly today, and I’m going to be VERY cautious about Game 4 of the NBA Finals. With Curry a little banged up, this entire series just changed.

NBA Finals, Game 4:
Under 214.5, 2 units
The pace was ridiculous in game three and there’s just no way, IMO, that it can keep up. Game four should be extremely contentious and physical, especially after Draymond’s exit and how horrendous the Warriors protected the rim. As usual, they’ll correct some of those wrongs and this game will probably be a lot closer, with one asterisk. If Curry is substantially injured*, as I noted on Twitter, this series is absolutely over. As even as these two teams are, Curry is so integral for Golden State’s offensive success and they just won’t be able to produce the same results without a Steph Curry that’s at least 90%. Because of his injury and due to our expectation that pace and offensive production will decrease, this feels like a sure-fire over. I have it at 201.
MLB Picks:
Giants and Yankees -1.5 (-125 each), 1.25 units each to win 1 unit each (not a parlay)
We trust in Gerrit Cole (why wouldn’t we at this point), who’s been on a tear, and Logan Webb has the goods to dominate the Rockies on the road. The Yankees are also in a revenge spot now, rut row.
Angels (-126), 1 unit
If there’s any spot for the Angels to break their long, horrendous losing streak, it’s Ohtani on the mound. He’s been on a downward trend for awhile now, along with his entire team, but great players answer the call and LAA certainly has the ability to annihilate Boston if they’re getting a great effort from Ohtani, at home.
NHL Picks:
Lightning/Rangers over 5.5, 1 unit
Both teams had defenses step up, both teams will need to be aggressive from the jump to try and get the crucial 5th game in this series. Normally this could be a good spot for an under but the way this series and playoff hockey has gone, I’m taking the over.