NFL Week 12 Free Plays

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lamar jackson, setting up for a pass.

Baltimore vs Jacksonville +4 O/U 43.5

This is the spot that Jacksonville has to get it right.  I have to say that the Jaguars are looking pretty healthy here coming of the bye, and if this team can just hold on to their leads and start playing like winners, they have a good shot to cover this thing.  The numbers on these teams are really closer than one might think.   Baltimore is a net positive .1 yards per play  while Jacksonville is dead even.  The Ravens rank 9th in offensive EPA to Jacksonville ranking 11th.  The Jaguars rank 18th in defensive EPA while the Ravens rank 17th.  If the Jaguars can just keep the turnover margin equal or better in this game, I think that they cover this spread coming off the bye.

Jaguars +4 – 2.5 stars

Teaser:    Panthers to +8.5 with the Steelers to +8.5 – 2 stars

 

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Kiev O'Neil: 20+ years of sports betting experience. Podcast host since 2017. College Football since 2019 412-367-27 UP 58.7U NFL since 2018 249-228-16 up 40U UFC since 2019 82-74-5 up 34.1U I do not necessarily look at myself as being a so called “sharp” sports bettor. Instead I like to think of myself as a great compiler of information who specializes in the Big 10, but also handicaps all NFL, NCAA football, UFC, Basketball, Horse Racing and more! I encourage people to specialize in a conference or division that will help give them the greatest edge in their sports wagers. I am never against a person betting against their favorite teams when the situation is right.