Baltimore vs Jacksonville +4 O/U 43.5
This is the spot that Jacksonville has to get it right. I have to say that the Jaguars are looking pretty healthy here coming of the bye, and if this team can just hold on to their leads and start playing like winners, they have a good shot to cover this thing. The numbers on these teams are really closer than one might think. Baltimore is a net positive .1 yards per play while Jacksonville is dead even. The Ravens rank 9th in offensive EPA to Jacksonville ranking 11th. The Jaguars rank 18th in defensive EPA while the Ravens rank 17th. If the Jaguars can just keep the turnover margin equal or better in this game, I think that they cover this spread coming off the bye.
Jaguars +4 – 2.5 stars
Teaser: Panthers to +8.5 with the Steelers to +8.5 – 2 stars