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*CBB(1u): UCF 1H PK @ Temple–6 PM CT
Temple went on a phantom run earlier in conference play but have clearly regressed down to who they are: a very mediocre basketball team. UCF has drawn the short end of the stick in several close games, but I power rate them far better than their 16-12 record would indicate. Most importantly, I like the dynamics of this matchup for the Knights.
Temple is an aggressive 3pt shooting team yet shoots just 33.7%(214th in CBB) from beyond the arc. Additionally, the Owls cough up nearly 13.5 turnovers per game and rank outside the Top 300 in this department. It just so happens that UCF’s strength defensively is defending the 3; the Knights rank 33rd in America allowing opponents to shoot just 31% from beyond the arc. Funny enough, those numbers actually improve on the road.
UCF’s offense is far from complete, but they do play to their strengths better than Temple. UCF is a very aggressive 3pt shooting team themselves, but unlike Temple, they shoot nearly 36.5% from beyond the arc. The Knights are also a Top 20 offensive rebounding team in America and should have some opportunities at second chance points given Temple’s mediocrity on the boards.
UCF has been prone to some slow starts this season, but they showed signs of positive regression building up an 18 point Halftime lead at Tulsa this past weekend. Temple is a good foul shooting team that could benefit from extending this game, so to avoid that scenario, I’ll isolate UCF in the 1H.
