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Toronto at LA Lakers +2.5 (O/U 224.5) 10:30pm ET
The Lakers have vastly improved since the All-Star break, specifically in one category, defensively. Granted, they really don’t have any signature wins, but you can only beat what they put in front of you. Winning 5 of their last 7 games since the break, as well as winning 5 of their last 6 home games. Keep in mind they have been Lebron-less in their last 3, but still finding ways to win. The ‘Brow’ has definitely stepped up into that dynamic role, averaging 33 points a game in his L5. Even with a bloody nose after getting a right hook from David Roddy Wednesday, he came back in and led them to victory.
Now for their defense, they have averaged 110.7 points a game since the break, which drops to 107 a game at home. Also only giving up 42.7% shooting in those seven. I like the fact they’re 9-4 ATS as short dogs, this spot fits them perfectly. As well as 7-4 ATS on 2 days rest, or what I call the extra day. They have seemed to perform well vs lower level competition, going 16-7 ATS vs teams under .500.
Toronto is playing 7 of 8 away, and as good as there offense has looked at ‘times’, they’re only averaging 102.5 points a game. They have lost 5 of 7, and teams are shooting all over them at over 52% a game since the break, and quite honestly a high % most of the season.
In the midst of a tight playoff race, every game is a must win all the way out for the Lake show. I think Toronto’s rough schedule catches up with them tonight, and they will run out of gas. Providing the Lakers with their 3rd straight win.
Lakers +2.5 (Caesars -110) 1.2 units
Good luck to anyone if you’re tailing, I’m BACK!
