What’s up everyone!
There’s a chance I have too much exposure today, and so be it if that’s the case. The good news is that the NBA isn’t just annoying me – it’s annoying a ton of sharp bettors. RJ Barrett gets a meaningless dunk at the end of the Knicks/Hawks game in a situation where the under should have hit (not to mention the fact that for long stretches, neither team could miss a 3). Then the Clippers choke in the last 4 minutes. And of course Monday with the Heat. And the Blazers showed a pulse on that slate, too.
It’s all so fucking annoying and trust me, I’ve lost plenty of $$$ the last 5 days. Not happy about it, but we must trust our process. It’s a proven model for long-term success and all things regress to the mean – including the NBA product and its insanity.
I’m adding the Spurs Team Total over 121 for 1 unit. The Blazers could not be less equipped to stop a Spurs team that can run fast and score faster, and San Antonio will be ultra-motivated chasing that play-in spot.
Here’s a full review of our NBA Picks for today:
- Kings/Pacers over 236, 1 unit
- Heat -6.5 (the line dropped last night), 1.5 units
- Nets -2.5, 2.5 units
- Suns/T-Wolves over 236.5, 2.5 units
- Hornets -6.5, 2 units
- Spurs TT over 121, 1 unit
We keep a solid bankroll and we bet light long term for days like this. Let’s fucking roll, team. Have a great Wednesday,
Chris