New Orleans Over 8.5
This Saints team started 5-2 last season and then Jameis Winston went down. Winston had 14 TD and 3 INTs before his season ending injury,
Winston should be healthy for the opener after a minor ankle injury and he will have Michael Thomas back who was not available last season.
Winston and Thomas are +550 and +850 respectively to win Comeback Player of the Year. Worth a look I think.
The Saints also add Jarvis Landry at WR and drafted Olave out of Ohio St.
That is going to make Alvin Kamara even better. Kamar’s ypc dipped to 3.7 last season with a career high in carries without much help on offense after rushing for 5 yards per carry in 2020.
I liked the Saints Over 8 in June but there was some question about Kamara being suspended for the incident in Vegas in the off season. Kamara’s next court date now has been pushed back for a third time so Kamara won’t be back in court possibly until October. The NFL won’t pass out any discipline until the legal process has taken its course so that may run into 2023.
This Saints defense allowed the 4th fewest points per game last season. They have added Tyrann Mathieu who went to his 3rd Pro Bowl last season. They have also added Demario Davis at LB. He is 33 years old but has been first or 2nd team ALL Pro each of the last 3 seasons
New Orleans beat Tampa twice last season.
This was a 9 win team last season without at QB for over half of the season.
I like the Saints to get to at least 9 wins. So Over 8.5.
You can get New Orleans at 3 to 1 to win the division. I’d probably sprinkle that as well.
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