Army vs Navy

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Dec 13, 2014; Baltimore, MD, USA; Cadets and Midshipmen from Army and Navy shake hands during a prisoner exchange ceremony before a game between the Army Black Knights and Navy Midshipmen at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Danny Wild-USA TODAY Sports

Army vs Navy +7

I think if you followed football long enough, you know how big this game is to both of these sides.  Motivation will not be in question.   What is very unique about this game is that both teams run identical offenses.   Both teams run the triple option and meaning both teams know how to defend it.   If you see a pass in this game it is usually not really expected by the defense and you tend to see some wrinkles thrown in.   Now Army is ranked a bit higher passing the ball with Kelvin Hopkins at 55% completion percentage over Garret Lewis at 45% and now QB Zach Abby at 50% but I think this should hardly factor into this Handicap.   The glaring thing here to me is that Army has a much better rushing defense than Navy holding opponents to 4.2 yards per run while Navy is at 5.2.  That is huge because it averages about 3 yards per set of downs.   Option or not, this defense can’t stop anybody.   I also see that both of these teams have faced some option teams this year.    Army beat Airforce recently 17-14 while Navy lost to Air Force 35-7 and being out-gained by over 200 yards.   Navy also played Tulane and lost by a point at the end of the year.  Now Navy has been playing better since they got blown out by Cincinnati 48-0 but I think they will not be able to stop a better Army team.   I normally bet the dog in this game and scenario but Navy does not have the defense this year to stop this army team.  Navy is 2-8 over the last 3 years being a dog from 3.5 to 10 points.  Army is as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points is 8-0.   I will lay the points with Army but this certainly isn’t a big play of mine.

Army -7

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Kiev O'Neil: 20+ years of sports betting experience. Podcast host since 2017. College Football since 2019 412-367-27 UP 58.7U NFL since 2018 249-228-16 up 40U UFC since 2019 82-74-5 up 34.1U I do not necessarily look at myself as being a so called “sharp” sports bettor. Instead I like to think of myself as a great compiler of information who specializes in the Big 10, but also handicaps all NFL, NCAA football, UFC, Basketball, Horse Racing and more! I encourage people to specialize in a conference or division that will help give them the greatest edge in their sports wagers. I am never against a person betting against their favorite teams when the situation is right.