A subpar start to August brings my overall MLB record to 120-116-5, -0.11u. I’m rolling with a lone play for tonight looking to flip the script and start the new week off strong! To receive a text when I release/add any plays, join my Telegram group.
*MLB(1u): Yankees/Mariners F5 OVER 4(-110)–9:10 PM CT
This is a tough start for each SP as both Taillon and Gilbert made their last start against these same lineups just last week.
Yankees SP Jameson Taillon allowed 5 ER in last week’s matchup and now enters a role he’s struggled in mightily since joining the Yankees. Taillon held an ugly 1.40 WHIP on the road last season and sees his road ERA near 4.50 this season. This Mariners lineup seemed to get off the schneid with a 6 run performance yesterday. While I don’t like how this lineup steps up against top-of-the-line arms, I don’t see Taillon imposing anywhere near that level of a threat.
Mariners SP Logan Gilbert is a young arm that should be in the league for a long time, but he matched up terribly with the Yankees last week; Gilbert allowed 6 ER in total, 3 of which came via the HR ball, as well as 11(!) baserunners. The Yankees have been a bit inconsistent here as of late, but they were able to bring in 9 runs in St. Louis yesterday. I’m not going to hesitate backing a lineup that ranks 1st in wRC+ vs righties away from their home ballpark, especially in this advantageous spot. I also think that, given Gilbert’s inexperience pitching deep into a MLB season, he could struggle down the stretch.
