Last week I posted an UNDER play selection when Portland State traveled to N. Colorado. I am recommending that we fire on another UNDER here when they travel to Sacramento State as 4 point underdogs. If you like this play, jump on it quick. It opened at 141 and is down to 139.5 and likely to fall (maybe to 137.5ish). Portland State UNDER bets have cashed at the rate of 14-5 on the season, 5-0 L5, 7-3 in conference, and 9-2 on the road. This will be Portland State’s 4th straight road game in 12 days, traveling to Weber State, then 2 days later to Idaho, then 5 days later to Northern Colorado, back home and on the road again down the coast 400+ miles to Sacramento.
Likewise, Sacramento State UNDER bets have cashed 11-6 on the season, 4-1 L5, and 7-4 in conference play. Sacramento is finally home after a 3 game road trip traveling everywhere mentioned above. Their last three matchups have a combined total of 132 ppg. First game off a three game road trip angles have been historically significant with a theory that the returning home team may be reeling from the lingering travel effects and the distractions of returning home and getting back into taking care of the remainder of their responsibilities that they don’t have to focus on while on the road. Sacramento State is ranked 133rd in the country in adjusted defense
Head to head, this matchup has cashed UNDERS in 5 of the last 6 times when Portland State plays in Sacramento.
While I admit that I wish this number was in the mid 140’s in order to fire away here, I still think there are plenty of factors worthy of considering a wager on the UNDER.
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PLAY: Portland State/Sacramento State under 139.5 (buy price – 138)
