We continue to CRUSH this bowl season. We are 6-1 ATS and just getting started my friends. Congratulations to everyone that has been on board so far, and for anyone on the fence about joining the team? Just take a look at our results. Will and want will always outweigh talent!
Here’s our updated numbers so far in the 2023-24 Bowl Season! All plays posted here or Twitter (X).
ATS: 6-1, +5.8 units
Totals: 0-1, -1.1u units
Money Lines: 2-2, +0.5 units
Parlays: 1-1, +1.05 units
Live: 1-0, +0.25 units
Total: 10-5, +6.5 units
Saturday, December 23rd
ML Parlay (-101): USA -900, Utah -238, SJSU -375, to win 0.75u
Parlay (+1230): NIU +2.5, JMU -1.5, Utah -6.5, SJSU -9.5, risk 0.15u-to win1.85u
12:00pm ET- Duke vs Troy: This has no scoring written all over it. Oh boy, here we go with the totals again. Duke’s defense is the only way they stay in this game. Troy is so sound on the defensive side, and with Duke QB R. Leanord in the transfer portal, it will be hard for Duke to even get into plus territory. Troy won their 2022 bowl game 18-13 shutting down the Roadrunners of UTSA, keeping Duke off of the scoreboard is very plausible. They have the ability to shutout Duke here. Take the under, as well as the under on Duke’s team total.
Play(s): Under 44.5 (-110) to win 0.5u, Duke Team Total under 17.5 (-115) to win 0.7u
12:00pm ET- NIU vs Arkansas St: A pair of 6-6 middle of the road teams will square off in the Camilia Bowl in Montgomery, AL. MAC vs the Sun Belt. On the line: bragging rights, a bowl victory, more importantly some cash for the winning school. A victory for NIU would be a feeling they have not felt in sometime, 2011 was their last bowl victory. Versus whom you ask? Arkansas State. Also, their opponents on December 23rd. The Huskies are led by Senior 5-year starter Rocky Lombardi who is still looking for his 1st bowl win. NIU and Lombardi were unsuccessful in the 2021 Cure Bowl when they ran into buzzsaw CCU with Grayson McCall at QB and the Chancellors. Most of Lombardi’s teammates this season were also on that squad, making most of them juniors and seniors now, which I think will be the difference this bowl season facing an Arkansas St team led my mostly freshman and sophomores. With one of those Juniors being NIU phenom RB Antario Brown who is a game changer every time he touches the ball. Ark St may have the advantage in coaching, but the experience of NIU combined with a Red Wolves defense who couldn’t stop a thing in 2023, will all lead to an NIU victory! Give me the MAC in this match-up to run all over the Sun Belt!
Play(s): NIU +2.5 (-105) to win 1.25u, NIU ML (+120) risk 0.35u
3:30pm ET- Air Force vs JMU: No Hazziq Daniels and no Brad Roberts for the Falcons could prove to be quite a problem for Air Force when they square off with JMU playing their first ever collegiate bowl game. Less than 2 months ago, Air Force was 8-0 and 28-6 in their last 34 games, then the wheels fell off. Losing 4 straight as 18, 20 and 3-point favorites to end the season. Unable to even qualify for their conference championship. Yes, I do understand AF QB Zac Larrier was not playing these games and appears to be ready to go for the bowl game, but I look at this as a positive as we are getting a reduced line with him stepping on the field. Now they have to face a 11-1 JMU squad hungry to prove to the world they are very good. Now they do have issues of their own going on, former HC Curt Cignetti on his way to the Big Ten to coach Indiana leaving JMU at an inopportune time with their bowl game just weeks away. I think this Dukes team is just too good for it to be that big of a problem. Specifically, because they lead the country versus the run, a category AF has been very fortunate in in previous years facing teams that flat out can’t stop the run. Like Baylor in 2022, as AF was my best bet of the bowl season last year. I am all over the Dukes to ROLL in the Armed Forces bowl, with JMU QB Jordan McCloud and Sun-Belt Offensive Player of the Year leading us to victory! Multi-unit play for me, as well as my strongest play of the bowl season!
Play: JMU -1.5 (-110) to win 2.25u
3:30pm ET- Georgia St vs Utah St: We know how down I am on USU; it really did not matter who they faced in their bowl game I was betting against them, but GSU’s defense is BAD. The QB play on USU is also BAD. So, what outweighs each other? You need a QB to win these bowl games, year after year, bad QB play leads to losses. Levi Williams will be at the helm for USU, a by far run first pass second type of QB. I believe this bodes well for GSU, after showing disastrous efforts versus QB’s who can zing it all over the field. Between bad QB play for USU, combined with a defense that’s ranked practically last in every defensive category, is a combination for disaster. Georgia State HC Shawn Elliot has a knack for winning bowl games, going 3-1 in his tenure at GST, so let’s back him and senior QB/4-year starter Danny Grainger to score and score often in the Idaho Potato Bowl.
Play: USU +1.5 (-110) to win 0.9u
7:00pm ET- EMU vs So. Alabama: USA head coach Kane Wommack returned the Jags to bowl season last year after winning 10 games but were completely unprepared for WKU’s high flying offense. Well, he will look to get his revenge in the 2023 Ventures Bowl facing a MAC team who had to fight tooth and nail to even be bowl eligible. While EMU might bring extra effort most weeks, unfortunately they lack talent. Yes, I know I have said in the past, effort outweighs talent. I just don’t believe that applies to this game. Let’s not fail to mention USA has never won a bowl game in their program existence, these boys will be ready to roll Dec 23rd. Jags should dominate this affair from start to finish! ML and teasers should be a strong play here.
No Official Play here, besides the ML in a parlay.
7:30pm ET- Northwestern vs Utah: There is no doubt Northwestern played some good ball to end the 2023 season. Getting to 7 wins was way ahead of schedule this year, but I also believe they take a huge step up in class here in their bowl game. For those wondering who the QB will be for Utah on Dec 23rd? Bryson Barnes says, “he will not leave the program hanging.” Also, a chance for Barnes to show his progression in 2023, which was rocky at times. He has stated he will be leaving the Utah program after the bowl game, in other words: a tryout for his next school he will attend with two years of eligibility left. Between Barnes being a run first QB and a lethal run game, Northwestern could be in for a long day defensively in the Las Vegas Bowl. The Wildcats suffered severely when facing teams like Utah, ground and pound, then play solid physical defense! Utah HC Charlie Whittingham will outcoach NW HC David Braun in every way imaginable. When Charlie drops in class for a bowl game, he crushes. Lay the points with the Utes here.
Play: Utah -6.5 (-110) to win 1.25u
10:30pm ET- Coastal Carolina vs SJSU: I will not back many big favorites in bowl season (meaning lay a large number of points), but this Spartan team is a different animal. I was hoping for a “fairer” matchup you could say in their bowl game, hoping for a smaller line or even to be an underdog. As I believe this team could compete with many of the bigger schools this bowl season, but their matchup with the Chancellors is just not fair. They are leaps and bounds better than this team, then throw in QB Grayson McCall is out for the season. The Spartan defense and secondary is going to pounce on whatever QB CCU sends out on December 23rd in the Hawaii Bowl. These boys are fast, hit hard and are ball hawks, ranking 14th in pass yards, 31st in YPA and 33rd in INTs per game. Let’s not forget to mention this game is obviously in Hawaii. Playing ball in California compared to South Carolina will be much easier for the Cali boys transitioning to their time zone compared to a team coming from the east coast. SJSU lost as 9-point favorites and 4-point favorites in their previous two bowl games in 2020 and 2022, to MAC teams to boot. Revenge will be on HC Brent Brennan’s mind, as well as many of the players mind who got steamrolled last year versus EMU. This will be one of my best bets of the bowl season, SJSU by MANYYY!
Play: SJSU -9.5 (-110) to win 1.75u
Good luck to everyone tailing, let’s enjoy these games and make some money!
