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NY Knicks at Orlando +1 (O/U 225)
I see a lot of sharps are on the Magic side here, with this line fluttering between -1 and -1.5 all day. I personally don’t buy into the Magic hype here currently, I have also noted they struggle against bigger more physical teams. Well the Knicks are all of that and more!
When these two teams faced off against each other in October at the MSG, the Knicks came away with a 13 point victory, grabbing 18 offensive boards in the process. This Knick defense has improved leaps and bounds from earlier on in the season, currently ranking 2nd in field goal % giving up only 45.4% per game. They come off a victory holding Philadelphia to only 41% shooting. This does not bode well for an over-traveled Magic team, who has shot 45.6% from the field in their last five and have only played 4 home games in their last 15. Yes they are 3-1 there last four at Amway, but 2 of the 3 wins came against Indiana and New Orleans who were enduring long losing streaks at the time.
The Knicks are 17-9 away ATS, and are 10-4 away ATS off of a win. I believe the Knicks show their toughness tonight and over power a weaker Orlando squad for a victory!
Knicks -1 (DraftKings -110) 1 unit
Oklahoma City at LA Lakers -6.5 (O/U 239)
This is the first meeting of the season between these two clubs, as Lebron looks to set history needing just 36 points to pass Kareem Abdul-Jabbar in total points!
As far as our play, the Lakers offense has shown signs of life since Anthony Davis has been back in the lineup, averaging just over 30 points in the 3 games. LA just finished up a 5 game road trip, going 2-3, while having the last two nights off to rest up. OKC is on a back to back where they have given up 124 and 126 points in their previous two b2b’s.
This a tremendous spot for the over! As both teams have been flying up and down the court recently, ranking 2nd and 6th in pace. In OKC’s last 6 games, they have given up over 51% from the field and 120 points or more in 4 of 6. Both teams give up offensive rebounds, ranking in the bottom 5. Which will benefit OKC tremendously ranking 3rd in the league in made field goals, and now facing a Lakers team who ranks 29th in field goals given up. The Thunder have gone over in 4 of the last 6 games, with the two unders against a slow moving Cavs squad, and only shooting 37% vs lowly Houston.
Two huge trends I thought worth noting, when the Thunder are 3 point dogs or more the over is 20-9-1. When the Lakers are 5 point favorites or more the over is 6-0! While I don’t rely on trends, I thought these two would be very important tonight for numerous reasons as they both fit the scenario. The Lakers will try to get to the line and do it often, putting up points without the clock moving, averaging 26 free throws a game. I believe all things point to the over, making this a *UNIT UPGRADE*!
Over 239 (BetRivers -110) 1.5 units
Good luck to all those if tailing, let’s keep building!
