We’re officially in the black in CFB! One hell of a turnaround, eh?! Let’s keep it rollin’
CFB Week 12 Picks (44-39-7, +1.35 units):
Illinois 1H +10 (-110), to win 1 unit
Let-down spot for Michigan with Ohio State on deck. I’m not sure if the Wolverines will be as crisp early, and the Illini should be super motivated to try and dethrone the undefeated home team. Illinois can run the ball and take away some clock. Like the first half to be close.
TCU -2.5 (-110), to win 1.5 units
TCU has been here before and they keep taking care of business in tough road spots. I’m going to trust that– they’re too close to finishing this season undefeated to blow it now. Also Iowa State is NOT a lookahead game.
Appalachian State -16 (-110), to win 1 unit
Perfect smash spot for App State at home, where they usually play their best football, in a response game after that frustrating loss at Marshall.
Same Game 6 pt. Teaser: Iowa to +8.5, Total under 38
Yes, this will be low scoring. Yes, Iowa will find a way to keep it close. No, I don’t trust that randomness will help us in an end-of-game spot when they’re a dog of less than a field goal.
USC/UCLA over 76 (-110), to win 2 units
UCLA allows opposing QBs to throw 67% this season and that was against competition like Arizona State, Utah (run first team), Oregon, Arizona, and South Alabama. USC’s Caleb Williams averages 60% completion % against top 25 teams and throws for over 3 TDs a game. The dude is a true Heisman contender and he leads one of the most prolific offenses in the country. Meanwhile, USC allows 4.5 yards per rush, barely a top 100 team in run defense, while UCLA’s 6.3 yards per carry is 1st in the nation. And they run for 240 yards per game, top 10 in that category. USC has allowed teams like Stanford, CAL and AZ to put up points on ’em, and I don’t see any way that UCLA can hold down the USC attack. OVER!
