College Basketball 1/15/21 Free Plays – Sports Betting

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Tennessee vs Kentucky -4 O/U 142

Kentucky’s best win is against number 29 on Kenpom and 16 on Haslametric’s North Carolina which Tennessee beat them quite easily as well.   The Vols have the better win vs Arizona, but they have more losses vs upper mid range opponents.  Looking at the metrics, both of these teams are pretty solid around the board but Tennessee shoots a lot of 3s while only averaging 32.1% ranking 251st in the nation.  The key for me this game is that the Vols are a bad road team shooting only 44% effective FG% which should give Kentucky a big edge being the 6th best rebounding team in the nation.  Tennessee ranks 339th away from home on Haslametrics.  Over the last 5 games between these 2, the home team has won and covered all 5 with ease.

Take Kentucky -4.5 – 2 stars

Seton Hall vs Marquette +1 O/U 153

Seton Hall is in a compromising spot after that bad Depaul Showing and then going to Marquette on very short rest.   Marquette is top 6 in average possession length and loves to run while Seton Hall is as speedy 34th.   Marquette is the number two team in momentum right now and they are running on rocket fuel but they will have a disadvantage inside where Seton hall is the taller team and is better at cleaning up the boards.  Marquette should dictate the pace here and face pace has been working from them being that they have scored over 82 points in each of their last three games.

Over 153 – 2 stars

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Kiev O'Neil: 20+ years of sports betting experience. Podcast host since 2017. College Football since 2019 412-367-27 UP 58.7U NFL since 2018 249-228-16 up 40U UFC since 2019 82-74-5 up 34.1U I do not necessarily look at myself as being a so called “sharp” sports bettor. Instead I like to think of myself as a great compiler of information who specializes in the Big 10, but also handicaps all NFL, NCAA football, UFC, Basketball, Horse Racing and more! I encourage people to specialize in a conference or division that will help give them the greatest edge in their sports wagers. I am never against a person betting against their favorite teams when the situation is right.