Baylor vs Oklahoma State +9 O/U 147
Usually, the best defensive oriented teams play slow. Ask Virginia and Texas Tech that question. Somehow Baylor is able to play fast and do exceptionally well at defense while still ranking number 4 in offense. Baylor is undefeated and their closest win was against Iowa State believe it or not when they only won by 7 points. I wonder if Baylor was asleep that game. I must say that I am very impressed by Scott Drew and I am not sure that Gonzaga is the number one team. In saying that, I feel Oklahoma State is a bit underrated. They have had their share of punches this year but they also like to step up in big games winning against Marquette, Texas Tech and Kansas. The Cowboys have a stud freshman guard in Cade Cunningham who leads the team in points scored as well as assists. He will be motivated to upset this Baylor team who just got off of a tough game vs Kansas. Believe it or not, Baylor can get a little sloppy with the ball ranking only 8th in conference play in turnover rate. The Bears also have to regress at some point ranking 4th in three point percentage at over 42%. Both teams play fast believe it or not with the Cowboys ranking 40th in seconds per possession and Baylor ranking 58th. I think that the over is in play this game if it drops down below 145 due to the pace and the fact that Oklahoma State ranks number 3 in offense in the Big 12 with Baylor ranking number 1. I also will look to take the home dog here and see if I can catch Baylor sleeping.
Oklahoma State +9 – 1.5 star premium and sprinkle
LSU vs Kentucky -1.5 O/U 147
Kentucky just isn’t a good team this year and this is why you need to stay on that fade train. Kentucky gets bets because of their name and their name only. How else could any team ranking 298th in effective FG % at 45.9%and 294th in offensive turnovers be a favorite to an LSU team who ranks 33rd in effective FG% at 54.8%. Both teams are coming off of a loss but LSU’s loss came with their worst shooting day at 37% when they average 48% all year long. When Kentucky lost to Georgia, they actually shot 42% which is above their average of 41%. I think Kentucky will once again struggle with LSUs speed like they did vs Alabama, Georgia and Auburn this year. Take the short road dog.
LSU +1.5 – 2 star premium shared
