Georgia Tech vs Duke +6 O/U 140.5 –
I am going right back to the well on this one. This is more of a fade on what Kenpom thinks of Duke and what they think of Georgia Tech. Duke has lost 3 away games in a row and one would think that this is their bounce back spot at home. Maybe it is but I am also willing to think that maybe it isn’t and take a shot on betting the better team. Georgia Tech is for some reason ranked lower than Duke when lead duke in Points per game at 78.7 to 73.6, Opponent points per game at 71 to 72, FG% at 47.5 to 44.8, FT Percentage at 71.6 to 67.3, three point percentage at 38.3 to 33.2 and turnovers at 11.5 to 13.7. The only thing Duke does better is rebound the ball and that is also because Duke misses more shots. Now Duke was missing their best player in Jalen Johnson for a stretch of 3 games but they happened to win all of those. Georgia Tech is the better team and Bart Torvik sees this game with the spread at pickem. Haslametrics has Duke losing by 1. I will gladly take the points and sprinkle.
Georgia Tech +6 – 2.5 star premium shared and sprinkle
Drake vs Missouri State +4 O/U 146
Hate the Drake? This is the only undefeated ATS team at 11-0. If there is a time to hate them it is probably now. Drake is coming off of a 23 day Covid pause that certainly could leave this team rusty and it’s not like they are playing a tomato can. Missouri State is 9-1 this year and 7-1 ATS vs division 1 opponents. They rank 122 on Kenpom compared to Drake at 64. I like the fact that Missouri State is tall down low and they make a high percentage of their shots down low. Drake could come out cold from 3 point land where they thrive on beating teams after such a long pause. The 4 points is ok but I like the first half even more for the home dog here.
Missouri State 1st half +2 – 1.5 star premium shared
