Florida vs West Virginia -4.5 O/U 147
- I think that both teams will be motivated here because neither team has a big non-conference win. Both teams are coming off of a nice streak of 2 – 3 wins. ‘
- Florida is the better shooting team for sure but West Virginia has the better defense.
- What I will say is that I think that the Big 12 is much better than the SEC at basketball in general and I will be targeting Press Virginia here. Both teams are pretty good at shooting 3s but West Virginia’s 3 point defense is much better allowing only 29.5% from 3 while Florida allows 34.6%
- West Virginia doesn’t shoot the ball well but they clean up well ranking 12th in offensive rebounds. West Virginia also has the better assist to turnover rate at 1.2 to .9
West Virginia -4.5 – 2 star premium shared play
Minnesota vs Purdue -2.5 O/U 139
This is a pretty important game for both teams to stay in the hunt to be dancing in March. Both of these teams are coming off stinkers on their home court with Purdue losing bad to Michigan and Minnesota losing bad to Maryland. These teams are closely ranked on Kenpom around 30th in the country and both teams seem to have their struggles. Minnesota doesn’t shoot the ball well while Purdue tends to turn the ball over. Minnesota is great at turnovers only giving up 11 per game while Purdue is at 13. Purdue is the better shooting team at 52.1% to Minnesota’s 46.9%. The Gophers shoot better Free throws and Purdue shoots better 3s. The key here for me is the home road splits for each team. Minnesota scores a massive 82 points per game at home while only 63 on the road. Now some of those stats are padded due to facing a very easy home non-conference schedule but the 63 on the road include the big 10 teams and it is not enough especially when looking at a total of 139. Purdue has some big wins vs Ohio State and Maryland at home while Minnesota has yet to win on the road. They key matchup is Travian Williams stopping Liem Robbins. Robbins is Minnesota’s center and best three point shooter. I know that Stephan Stephanovic is out for Purdue but they have some depth that can make up for his shooting. If Williams can get out to the perimiter and slow down Robbins then this game could be a blow out. Purdue has a freshman named Jaden Ivey that has been shining lately and he could go off in a game like this. Lay the points with the Boilermakers.
Purdue -2.5 – 2 star premium play
- Iowa State has had some serious Covid issues and they was another sweep of it that took out 5 or 6 players last game vs Oklahoma State and they could certainly miss this game again. This line is somewhat of a free roll depending on Iowa State’s health
- I have to question Iowa State’s motivation here at this point being 2-8. Even a win here won’t get them in any tournament.
- Mississippi State is one of the lower SEC teams but I think that they will be trying to get one last non-conference victory and make a run to reach the bubble by March.
- Even though the Bulldogs are a bad team, the Clones are worse and their season is already over.
Mississippi State -9 – 1.5 star premium play
