Iowa vs Michigan State -6 O/U 152
I wonder how Michigan State feels about Iowa being ranked higher than them? In saying that, Iowa deserves to be ranked higher than them due to some of their clutch wins this year and they have been better as of late. This doesn’t mean that Iowa is necessarily better than Michigan State. The Spartans know how to turn it up especially when the going gets tough. They certainly have the horses to do it with Cassius Winston leading the way and guys like Xavier Tillmen and Gabe Brown down low. The problem that Sparty will have here is that Iowa has the size to defend this team. 6’11 Luka Garza might be the most explosive player in the Big 10 and 6’10 Ryan Kriener has definitely improved. Iowa should also get CJ Fredrick back who has been an up and coming leader to this team. He will be able help slow down Winston. I think there may be some value in the total. People still think of Iowa is that fast paced team that doesn’t play defense due to some away blowouts. When Iowa lost to Purdue and Indiana this month, those teams literally shot out of their minds. Iowa should also be able to disrupt Sparty’s big guys down low forcing them to kick out the ball in many situations during the game. I think that this time of year the under may be a good look for these teams. This should be a match-up scenario where both Kriener and Garza will be playing at the same time quite often to defend Michigan State’s bigs and thus slowing down the game. Both of these teams will step of the defense trying to retain second place in the Big 10 regular season.
Under 152 – 2 star premium shared
Mississippi vs Auburn -9 O/U 138.5
Auburn is the second luckiest team on Kenpom and because of that I have to think that they are a little overrated. Somehow this team keeps beating teams late in the games but they haven’t blown out anyone since Georgia in early January. They actually played Ole Miss and went into overtime on January 28th and won. I am sure the Rebels remember that well. Both teams may be without one key player in KJ Buffen for Ole miss with a back injury and Isaac Okuru with a hamstring for Auburn. Auburn has a shot to win the SEC if they can beat Kentucky and Kentucky falls at Florida in their last game of the season. I think the Tigers know this and they have Kentucky on deck after this game. This is a look ahead spot for Auburn and a slight revenge spot for Ole Miss. The Rebels have not given up on their season and if they win out, they are a true bubble team with earlier wins against Florida and Penn State. Ole Miss is on a 7-2 ATS run since January 25th and I think they will be competitive this game.
Mississippi +9 – 1 star premium shared
