5-2 ATS O/U yesterday! Get Kiev’s premium plays for this card and everything the rest of the month right here! Click Here!
Iowa State vs Texas Tech -8.5 O/U 125.5
This is a mighty big spread for such a low total, ya think? Iowa State started off the season on fire beating teams like Xavier, Memphis, Iowa and even Texas Tech in early January. Since then, this team faded and lost a bunch of games in a row until recently winning four out of their last six. Texas Tech is locked into the tournament as a three seed at least but Iowa State believes that they have some more work to do. Now the reason for this large spread is that Iowa State “should” get pounded inside only ranking 200th in near proximity defense to Texas Tech ranking 25th in near proximity offense, but what I will say is that Iowa State has been good lately in getting turnovers ranking number 1 in the big 12 at 22.9% of possessions while Texas Tech ranks 294th turning over 20.2 possessions. If Iowa State can do that and hit some threes, this game will be much closer than expected. The final kicker for me is that Texas Tech ranks dead last in all of the NCAA at 358th in away from home performance on Haslmetrics. I think that Iowa State covers this silly number and might win outright.
Iowa State +8.5 – 2.5 stars and sprinkle
Parlay: North Texas -590, UCLA -410, Texas -240 – +106 – 2 stars
