College Basketball 3/2/21 Tuesday 2-Pack

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ATLANTA, GA NOVEMBER 25: Georgia Tech head coach Josh Pastner talks to his players in the huddle while wearing a face shield during the NCAA basketball game between the Georgia State Panthers and the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets on November 25th, 2020 at Hank McCamish Pavilion in Atlanta, GA. (Photo by Rich von Biberstein/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Duke vs Georgia Tech -1.5 O/U 146

  • Everyone is talking like Duke is now on their way to the NCAA tournament and is a much improved team but I am going to pump the breaks a little on that narrative.
  • The big question is if Duke is a good team or were they just a hot team?  I think they were hot.
  • Georgia tech is a team that we made some money on this year and they are well on their way to tournament birth.
  • Both of these teams stat-wise are pretty equal.  Both shoot the pretty well at 35.7% but both teams have issues defending it allowing about 37% to go in.
  • Duke is the better rebounding team at 35 to 31 but Georgia Tech has the better assist to turnover ratio at 1.5 to 1.3.
  • I like that this is a small revenge spot for the Yellow Jackets at home and I think that they make this a statement game with the better D.

Georgia Tech -1.5 – 2 stars

Wisconsin vs Purdue -1.5 O/U 129.5

  • I am a huge Badger Alumni and fan but Wisconsin has been overrated all year long on Kenpom.
  • Wisconsin has gotten by playing good defense as usual but they haven’t figured out how to rebound and run good plays.
  • Wisconsin’s shooting percentage is a pathetic 42% and the fact that they don’t rebound well on the offensive side of the ball ranking 277th in the league in offensive rebounds really can spell disaster for this team.
  • Wisconsin is soft down low and when they face good bigs they get smoked.
  • Purdue on the other hand is a team that keeps improving.  They are huge down low with 6’10 Travion Williams and 7’4 Zach Edey cleaning up boards while future freshman stars like Jaden Ivey is driving to the hole while Sasha Stefanovic is shooting 3s.  Purdue has the greatest upside out of any team out there.
  • Wisconsin is an even worse road shooting team at 39% shooting and 29.9% from 3 point land.
  • If Purdue wins this game, they clinch the double bye in the big 10 tournament.  I like Purdue to win by 3.

Purdue -1.5 – 1.5 stars

Bonus:  HORIZON LEAGUE: Money Line Rollover on Detroit starting with 1U.   I think this team has the most upside to win their tournament bracket.

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Kiev O'Neil: 20+ years of sports betting experience. Podcast host since 2017. College Football since 2019 412-367-27 UP 58.7U NFL since 2018 249-228-16 up 40U UFC since 2019 82-74-5 up 34.1U I do not necessarily look at myself as being a so called “sharp” sports bettor. Instead I like to think of myself as a great compiler of information who specializes in the Big 10, but also handicaps all NFL, NCAA football, UFC, Basketball, Horse Racing and more! I encourage people to specialize in a conference or division that will help give them the greatest edge in their sports wagers. I am never against a person betting against their favorite teams when the situation is right.