We have a Saturday Free Pick for everyone this afternoon as we look at a huge slate of games in both football and basketball. Overall record here early on the CBB year is 26-28 dropping 3.86 Units. Free picks record here at TheOddsbreakers.com is 2-1 on College Hoops this season. We have 4 CBB selections on the card so far, plus a plethora of college football and I am still looking at some late night KNAction.
My free play today takes us to Nassau, Bahamas and some holiday tournament action previewing the UNC Greensboro Spartans (3-1) taking on the undefeated Fightin’ Blue Hens of Delaware (5-0). The current line sits at UNCG -3 with the over/under checking in at 137.5.
The Fightin’ Blue Hens come in undefeated with a victory yesterday over Brown 67-59. Their early season opponents certainly are nothing to write home about as they also boast victories over Delaware St., Bucknell, Goldey Beacom and their best win Air Force. Their defense has been smothering giving up 61.6 points per game. That being said of those teams they’ve played only Air Force has a KenPom offensive efficiency ranking over 300. They are led by Senior Forward Jyare Davis who is averaging 19.5 points per game. They have a strong supporting cast around him with six players averaging between 9.2 and 11.2 ppg.
UNCG comes into the game off a 76-64 victory over UMKC yesterday. They also boast wins over NC A&T, and an early season signature win over Arkansas. The only blemish on the schedule was a four point road loss at Vanderbilt. Their offense has shown up in a few games at high levels and they have a solid outside attack landing at 27th in 3 point percentage and 43rd in Kenpom effective FG%. Haslametrics also has an advantage for UNCG when Delaware has the ball with them showing up on defense 87th in defensive field goal conversion rate. Senior Forward Mikeal Brown-Jones leads the team at 19.3 points per game. Senior shooting guard Keyshaun Langely is also lighting it up at 16.8 points per game. The supporting cast doesn’t score a lot, but Senior Point Guard Kobe Langely has 7.3 assists per game so far to only 1.8 turnovers per contest.
Both these teams are led by four solid seniors in the rotation, for me it’s early in the season, but I’m looking at a game where I’ve got one battle tested squad and one team who hasn’t played any substantial opponents up to this point. Add into that the metrics show an advantage on both ends of the floor for UNCG. They’re also better at taking care of the ball and in free throw percentage where Delaware is only shooting 61.7%. Too many things are adding up to a UNCG victory here, and if I am taking them to win the three points really aren’t a deterrent here. I’ve got this one at 73-65, and it’s my second 2.5 Unit play of the season. (We won the first one easy)
Take UNC-Greensboro -3 for 2.5 Units
