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George Mason vs Dayton -8 O/U 135.5
This should be a good matchup today in the Atlantic 10 where the Patriots visit the Flyers. George Mason is coming off two nice wins in a row while Dayton is coming off of two rough losses. From a side perspective, Dayton is the better team, but not by eight points at home. I definitely lean that side, however do not want to rush into betting it due to the fact that I think that Dayton is in the much better covering spot. What I like here is the total. The Flyers should be stepping up their defense today against a team in George Mason that only ranks 183rd in offensive efficiency. The Flyers have advantages covering the three as well as from mid range. On the other side of the ball, George Mason has been winning their games with defense. Over the last six games, the Patriots have held their opponents to 60 points or less five times. The Patriots also like to pay slow with an adjusted pace ranking 296th on Kenpom. We also notice that Dayton seems to play a little slower against their opponents as they rank 261st in adjusted tempo while their defense will see some improvement at home. I will also say that Dayton has had some pretty bad free throw luck this season with opponents shooting 76.9% from the charity stripe which is 349th in the league. I think this is a low scoring game.
Under 134.5 – 2 stars
