Saturday:
McNeese St vs Purdue -5.5 O/U 143.5 – Amica mutual Pavilion in Providence RI
- Nice big win for McNeese but they almost choked that away along with the choke on the under.
- Both teams play slow, yet efficient basketball, but Purdue has most of the matchup advantages on paper minus near the rim.
- I myself see more of a defensive slugfest this game as both teams will try and take care of the rock. Neither team shoots a lot of 3s.
- I think if all goes well for Purdue, they should win this game somewhat easily, but their rank of 361st in home road splits really worries me. Taking the under
- Under 143.5 – 2 stars
Gonzaga vs Houston -4.5 O/U 139.5 – Intrust bank Arena in Wichita KS
- Gonzaga jumped Georgia 27-3 and didn’t look back.
- I do not think Houston will deal with anything like that.
- The Zags are hot at the right time, but Houston should be able to score down low.
- Strangely enough, the Zags have become a defensive team over the past few games.
- Houston forces teams to play at their pace. The Zags do slow it down like we have seen against St Mary’s as none of their games even sniffed the over.
- I do not see a lot of scoring on either side of the ball.
- Houston tends to play pretty close games against good teams.
- Under 139.5 – 3 stars
UCLA vs Tennessee -4.5 O/U 132.5 – Rupp Arena Lexington KY
- The Bruins had it too easy against Utah State yet the Vols had it pretty easy against Wofferd.
- I really do not like how the SEC has been playing basketball. The Vols will have a near proximity advantage over the Bruins ranking 28th in Haslametris to the Bruins defending it at 189th. No other big advantages really exist for either offense.
- Tennessee is very close to home and should have the crowd advantage.
- UCLA was hot last game, but they might cool off some. Both teams are incredibly inconsistent ranking 329 or worse on their condistancy metric which makes me look or lean to a ML play on UCLA.
- Lean UCLA ML +164
Sunday:
Illinois vs Kentucky +1.5 O/U 170.5 – Fiserv Forum Milwaukee WI
- This should be an electrifying matchup with the highest total in the round of 32.
- Another home crowd advantage should factor in some for the Illini.
- Both teams have firing offenses, but the Cats do lack a bit in offensive rebounding.
- If this game turns into a three point contest, I worry for Illinois as Kentucky knows how to defend it.
- I like Illinois some here, but they have to score down low like they did against Xavier.
- If this game comes down to the end, I trust Lamont Butler on Kentucky more than Freshman Kasparas Jakucionis.
- Lean Illinois ML and lean Illinois 1st half ML
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