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Oregon vs Wisconsin -8.5 O/U 154.5
Game Details:
- Date: February 22, 2025
- Time: Noon ET
- Venue: Kohl Center, Madison, Wisconsin
- Broadcast: FOX
Offensive Efficiency:
- Wisconsin is ranked 6th in adjusted offensive efficiency. They are averaging 82.0 points per game, and their shooting efficiency is 46.8%. This indicates that they have a highly effective offense capable of putting up big numbers.
- Oregon is ranked 33rd in adjusted offensive efficiency. They are averaging 76.6 points per game, with a shooting efficiency of 45.7%. Their offense is also solid and can contribute significantly to the total points.
Defensive Efficiency:
- Wisconsin is ranked 40th in adjusted defensive efficiency. While they have a decent defense, they have allowed 70.6 points per game. This suggests that their defense can be penetrated by a strong offensive team like Oregon.
- Oregon is ranked 51st in adjusted defensive efficiency. They have allowed 71.7 points per game, indicating that their defense is not impenetrable and can be exploited by Wisconsin’s high-powered offense.
Pace of Play:
- Both teams have shown the ability to play at a fast pace. Wisconsin’s recent games have been high-scoring affairs, with scores like 95-74 against Illinois and 94-84 against Purdue. This suggests that they are comfortable playing in high-scoring games.
- Oregon’s recent games have also been high-scoring, with an 80-78 win against Iowa. This indicates that they can keep up with a fast-paced game and contribute to a high total score.
Key Players:
- Wisconsin’s John Tonje is averaging 19.6 points per game, and John Blackwell is averaging 15.2 points per game. These players are capable of putting up big numbers and driving the total score higher.
- Oregon’s Jackson Shelstad is averaging 13.3 points per game, and Nate Bittle is averaging 12.9 points per game. These players can also contribute significantly to the total points.
I think that we get some serious points this game. Wisconsin is 16-10 to the over while Oregon is 15-12. Both teams sometimes struggle on defense with Wisconsin ranking 40th in defensive efficiency to Oregon ranking 53rd. The Badgers are number 1 in free throw percentage. I expect them to get to the line at home. Over Oregon’s last three games, they eclipsed at least 75 points in each of them. The Badgers in their last two games eclipsed at least 94 points in each of them. Given the high offensive efficiency of both teams, their ability to play at a fast pace, and the presence of key players who can score big, it’s reasonable to argue that today’s game between Oregon and Wisconsin will go over 157 points.
Over 154.5 – 2 stars
Bonus Play – Stonybrook +2.5 – 2 stars – NC A&T is very injured with two of their top players in Glasper and Forrest on the shelf. These guys together take over 65% of the shots. The Market hasn’t responded nearly enough on this.
