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Missouri State vs Northern Iowa -2 O/U 134
Missouri State has been quietly moving p in the rankings winning 9 out of their last 11 games. They are an amazing 54.9% effective FG and number 1 in the Missouri Valley conference on defense. They do not turn the ball over and are a well balance team.
Northern Iowa is a solid smaller team who actually beat Missouri State on the road back on January 8th. They have been a pretty good team themselves when their opponents are not hitting shots. They move the ball well but are weak shooting the 3 ball ranking 142nd in the nation in 3 point percentage. They are also weak in defending the 3 allowing 35.24% to go in. The biggest thing that I hate about Northern Iowa is that their defense as a whole allows 53% effective FG% ranking 308th in the nation. They only rank 8th in the conference allowing 52.7%. The biggest tell here for me is that Missouri State is great on the road ranking 2nd in away from home play on Haslametrics while UNI ranks 212th at home. I think that Missouri State gets some road revenge here.
Missouri State +2 – 2 stars