Michigan vs Wisconsin -2 O/U 133
This handicap here is actually pretty simple to me. Michigan is a better team than Wisconsin and it showed when Michigan wiped the floor with the Badgers by 23 points back in mid January. The obvious thing to me in this situation is that Michigan is coming off of a 21 day Covid pause where strangely nobody on the team actually had Covid. The decision to quarantine was a political decision handed down to them by the school claiming precautionary reasons. Anyways, the Wolverines just had their first practice on Wednesday and they have some time to prepare against a good Wisconsin team. Now Wisconsin is probably still feeling that massing butt-kicking from January 12th and I expect the Badgers to come out firing. The Badgers are a very good home team shooting 46% as whole and 40.9% from 3 point land. Another thing that I look at is how these teams perform away from home compared to their overall season. According to Haslemetrics, Michigan is the 3rd worst team away from home in the NCAA. Due to the motivation, home road stats, and the basketball pause, I trust Wisconsin to play well enough to win at least the first hald and that is where I trust them the most in this spot.
Wisconsin 1st half PK – 1.5 star
Nebraska vs Penn State -11 O/U 144
These are the fastest playing 2 teams in all of the big 10. Both of them are coming off of some close losses with Nebraska taking Illinois to overtime and Penn State missing the winning shot in East Lansing. Being that Nebraska is coming off short rest, I would normally fade them if this wasn’t such a large spread. Instead I think that this is a spot where defense will be left at home. Also, if Nebraska can keep this game close enough, we might get some foul city at the end. My number in this game is 148.
Over 144 – 2.5 star
