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Fresno State Bulldogs (5-21, 1-14 MWC) VS San Diego State Aztecs (17-6, 10-4 MWC) -19.5 O/U 141.5
- Date & Time: Tuesday, February 18, 2025, at 11:00 PM EST (8:00 PM PST)
- Venue: Viejas Arena, San Diego
- Broadcast: CBS Sports Network
Key Players to Watch:
- Fresno State: Zaon Collins (12.3 PPG, 4.7 APG, 2.0 SPG), Miles Byrd (12.9 PPG)
- San Diego State: Nicholas Boyd (12.5 PPG, 4.0 RPG), Michael Gwath (8.6 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 2.6 BPG)
Team Stats:
- Fresno State: 72.0 PPG, 40.5 FG%, 7.0 3PG
- San Diego State: 70.8 PPG, 43.6 FG%, 7.6 3PG
Recent Form:
- Fresno State: 1-9 in last 10 games, averaging 69.5 PPG
- San Diego State: 7-3 in last 10 games, averaging 66.7 PPG
The total should go under 139 points because both teams have shown a tendency to play at a slower pace and struggle offensively. Fresno State has been allowing 81.7 points per game, which is one of the highest in the conference, but they also score just 72.0 points per game themselves. On the other hand, San Diego State has a solid defense, allowing only 62.6 points per game, but their offense averages just 70.8 points per game. If you look at the trend line on game pace as seen below from Bart Torvik, Fresno State has slowed down their play to tempo in the 60s.
A potential reason that Fresno State has slowed down their pace is for the reason that they might be getting sick of being blown out. The Bulldogs have lost every conference game this year except one against Air Force. Sa Diego State themselves play slow ranking 238th in Tempo. Their defense is amazing ranking 2nd in the nation in opponent adjusted effective FG%.
For all of these reasons I will take the under.
Under 141.5
