BYU vs Gonzaga -15 O/U 152
This might be the smallest spread you see here on out for Gonzaga until the NCAA tournament. Kenpom hast them number 2 in offensive efficiency and 17th on defense. BYU isn’t a bad team at all, and they might go dancing this year depending on how they finish out but a win against this team would almost certainly put them in good consideration minus future disaster. BYU is a decent offense ranking 50th in offensive efficiency and 18th in defense. Now the Zags play fast ranking 14th in the nation in tempo at 73.8 possessions per game. BYU ranks 135th at 69.5. Now the issue with some of these stats, is that they do not factor out garbage time. Both Gonzaga and BYU have beaten many teams by margin meaning they slowed it down towards the end of the game, therefore shorting their true ability for scoring points. Now Gonzaga has faced a great non-conference schedule but so has BYU and I expect BYU to be somewhat serviceable here and keep pace with the Zags. Over the last six of these two team’s head to head matchups, the over is 4-2 and this total is the lowest it has been within that timeframe. I am taking the over and think we are in for a lot of scoring.
Over 152 – 3 stars
