Virginia vs Clemson -28.5 O/U 54.5
Clemson shows the best defense in college football but we haven’t realize that they also have had the easiest schedule out of any top 25 team and probably any power 5 team. The second and third best teams in ACC are Virginia and Virginia tech and Clemson hasn’t had to play them until now. Virginia has had their own problems this year when Bryce Perkins was playing through injury but after that, they ended up being a much better scoring team. Their last 6 games they averaged 39 points per game. I think that they should be able to hang at least 20 in a losing effort against Clemson even though their numbers show them holding teams to 10 points per game. On the other side of the coin, Clemson averages 45 points per game and Virginia’s defense is very average when it in college football. I can see this game being 44-21 marking a play to the Virginia side but more importantly I like the over 54.5 points much better. Clemson can probably put 54 points up all by themselves if they wanted to.
Virginia +28.5 – 1 star premium shared & over 54.5 – 2 star premium shared
Georgia vs LSU -7 O/U 54
Why is Georgia number 4 in my power ratings? The answer is because THEY SHOULD BE. I don’t understand all this movement against Georgia here lately. Sure they haven’t played Alabama or LSU this year, but they at least beat Florida in the State of Florida, Notre Dame at home, and at an Auburn team who just beat Alabama. The final score of that Auburn game also doesn’t tell the true story because Georgia had complete control the whole game. LSU is a great team and Joe Burrow probably deserves to be Heisman but what Georgia has here is not only experience with their QB Jake Fromm being in this position, they also have top talent and a BETTER DEFENSE than LSU. Georgia only allows 4.1 yard per play and 10.4 points per game while LSU allows 5.1 yards per play and 22 points per game. Sure, LSU scores a lot but they haven’t really played a real defense since Auburn and only hanging 23 points against them. LSU has a .6 net yard per play advantage due to their offense averaging 1.6 yards per play more than Georgia but that has to do with the fact that they play at a much higher pace than Georgia. Ed Orgeron has done a great job this year and there is no doubt of that but he hasn’t been put in a position like this before. As bad as Kirby Smart is during the game, he does have the experience here. Lastly, Georgia is more desperate in this situation. They win they are in the playoffs while LSU can afford to lose this one.
Georgia +7 – 3 star premium shared play and sprinkle
