Utah vs USC -2.5 O/U 67
For all of you that may have been following me before the season, you know that I have a Utah to win the PAC 12 at +250 in my pocket. I have had a full season to watch these teams and I have to say that USC is better team. Caleb Williams is a Heisman finalist and I might give him the win if it ended today. He ranks 3rd in QBR to Cameron Rising ranking 24th. On Paper, USC has the better offense and they rank 55th in explosive plays to Utah ranking 115th, but Utah has the much better defense with a caveat. In Saying that, Utah’s defense feels a little more fake to me when they leave the friendly confines of home and venture out into the world. When Utah was away from home, they went 3-3 as well as almost losing to Washington State. Utah’s opponent’s yards per point goes down from 18.2 at home to 14.1 on the road. These are similar to USC’s numbers. USC is at a monstrous 7.27 yards per play to Utah’s 6.57. When these two teams played back in mid-October, I thought that USC got the short end of the officiating stick at twelve total penalties to five in Salt Lake City making them lose to Utah by only one point. This game may be the PAC 12’s chance to get a team into the playoffs. I have USC winning this game by four points.
USC -2.5 – 3 stars
2nd half over 34 if the number is correct by halftime – 1.5 stars
