College Football Friday Freebie – Sports Betting – BYU vs SMU

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BYU vs SMU -12 O/U 56

This should be a fun friday night game between the newcomers of the Big 12 and the ACC.   These are two teams that finished out quite different than each other last season.  SMU was a team that ranked top 11 both offensively and defensively.  They had an amazing passing game ranking 22nd in yards per attempt and 12th in sacks.   They also could run the ball quite well averaging 176.   Preston Stone led this team to an amazing 1.8 net yards per play.   The key here for the Mustangs is that they return a ton of their talent ranking 10th in returning production at 82%.   BYU on the other hand wasn’t quite so pretty.   They ranked 102nd in scoring offense and 99th in scoring defense.  This netted them a net negative -1 yard per play.  This season, they are hoping to rebound some, but how do we know that they can do this when they lack good talent.  QB Kedon Slovis is gone and Jake Retzlaff steps in where he played backup last year completing only 50% of his passes at a measly 5.2 yards per attempt.   My power ratings have these teams pretty far apart this year.  They also haven’t been tested, being that they played Southern Illinois.   SMU did not look good against Nevada last week, but when Nevada went to Troy, the champion of the Sun belt last year and beat them outright, the spot doesn’t look quite as bad as it did.   I have this game SMU -14.5.  Take the favorite. 

SMU -12 – 2 stars

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