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Iowa vs UCLA +6.5 O/U 44.5
This is going to be a fun friday night game. UCLA after a rough start has rolled two big 10 teams in Rutgers and Nebraska. They are playing with a lot of belief in their coach Deshaun Foster and it really shows. In saying that, this team is really stepping up here in competition. Iowa is coming in hot at 6-3 with momentum. This team has improved their offense this year to 73rd in EPA while their defense ranks 30th. UCLA ranks 96th in EPA and 86th on defense respectively. The way to beat Iowa is to run the ball as that this year is the Hawkeye’s weakness, but unfortunatley this is also the Bruin’s weakness on offense ranking 132nd in rushing play success rate and 128th in yards per rush. Iowa has really improved their stats when they switched quarterback from Cade McNamera to Brendan Sullivan. His completion percentage is 69% compared to only 60 with Cade who also was able to pad some of that in the early non-conference games. Iowa wins the turnover battle here at a +10 ratio this year to -5 for the Bruins. UCLA is in a let down spot after beating Nebraska last week on the road. Take the Hawkeyes below the 7.
Iowa -6.5 – 2 stars