College Football Friday Pick: Houston at Memphis

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Friday

Houston at Memphis

Pick: Memphis -6.5 (buy ½ from -7) /Normal

 

I don’t think we will need the hook here but would be upset to lose because we didn’t grab it.

QB King is now out for the season for Houston after tearing his meniscus.  He has 36/6 TD/INT and accounts for ¼ of the teams rushing yards and leads team in rushing TD with 14.  Leading rusher, Carr, has 5 rushing TD. This is a huge loss for Houston who likely now will have an inexperienced freshman playing QB on the road in a big game.

 

The Houston defense does not stop most opponents with talent on offense.  Houston ranks #129 in pass defense, #82 in rush defense and #117 in total defense.  They are also #101 in scoring defense. The Cougars allow over 500 yards per game on the road.

 

The Memphis offense is #7 in total offense and scoring offense.  QB White has a 24/5 TD/INT ratio. The Tigers avg 260.7 yards rushing over the last 3 games while Houston is allowing 241.7 yards and 5.3 yards per carry over its last 3.  

 

On defense, Memphis is holding opponents to 2.5 ypc on the ground over the last 3 games.  

Memphis is scoring over 51 ppg at home while allowing just over 22 ppg at home. Memphis has scored 47 or more points at home in every game except for 30-31 oss to a very good UCF team.  Houston allows over 38 ppg on the road. They allowed 45 at SMU, a team Memphis held to 18 points at SMU.

Memphis 5-1 ATS at home

Houston 2-3 ATS on road