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Penn State vs Illinois +14.5 O/U 48.5
Big 10 conference play is starting up and this game should be a little closer than this line is proposing. I do not think that Illinois gets blown out here. I like how Illinois Coach Brett Beliema knew how to play this team in 2021 when they won in Happy Valley outright. The fighting Illini slowed that game down with a much worse team. They essentially muddied it up. I do not see why Coach B wouldn’t do that again after that Kansas showing from last weekend. Penn State’s numbers look good thus far but they haven’t played anybody. According to Jeff Sagarin, Illinois has played the 24th hardest schedule while Penn State played the 120th hardest schedule. I do not think that West Virginia was a good test, and Penn State had to get a garbage score at the end in order to cover. Now I know that Penn State has more talent than Illinois, but this is big 10 country, and we all know what many of these games tend to look like. My power ratings have this a 12 to 13 point game. Take the Orange and Blue.
Illinois +14.5 – 2 stars and sprinkle
Kansas State vs Missouri -3.5 O/U 48
I honestly can not figure out why this line is so small here. We have seen this dog and pony show before. Missouri went to Manhattan Kansas last year and got blasted 40-12. This year, the Missouri football squad looks almost as bad as Boston College as the Tigers struggled last week hosting Middle Tennessee State. Kansas State at least played the Sun Belt champions of last year in Troy and pretty much had their way with them. The Wildcats are disrespected. Nobody is talking about this Big 12 championship team while Texas and Oklahoma are getting all of the accolades. What has changed here for me to think that Missouri is competent enough to lose this game by less than 7 points? This is the same Tigers team under Eli Drinkwitz that we have experienced for the past four years. My power ratings have this game Kansas State -11 and I think that might be a bit short. Take the Cats.
Kansas State -3.5 – 3 stars
