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Mississippi State vs Arizona State -6.5 O/U 59
This should be a much more exciting game that the total is leading us on to believe. New head coach Jeff Lebby comes in to the Bulldogs after being an offensive coordinator for Oklahoma and for Lane Kiffen at Ole miss before that. Speed is what he knows, and I expect a lot of offense this year from this group. Kenny Dillingham had a rough first year at Arizona State, but his team looked pretty motivated last week against Wyoming putting up over 40 points in the first half. Even though the Sun Devils were not good last year, they still were in the top 45 in plays per game, and I expect that to increase this year. I do not expect either of these defense to be good as the Bulldogs only returned one starter from 2023, while the Sun Devils only return three starters and allowed six yards per play last year. I peg both of these teams as “over” teams for 2024 until I see something different. I see both of these teams playing very fast, and I expect a lot of points.
Over 59 – 2 stars
Bowling Green vs Penn State -34.5 O/U 48.5
There is a lot of momentum for Penn State after a nice win against West Virginia, but is Bowling Green that much of a push over for a 5 TD spread? I am not so sure. The Falcons solid team last year winning 5 of their last 6 regular season games. They only lost to Mac Champion Toledo by 1 point and did well in their bowl game vs the Gophers. This team returns 73% of their offense and 58% of their defensive production. They were a decent .2 net yards per play. Penn State is a team that definitely improved last year with a much better offensive coordinator in Andy Kotelnicki from Kansas. In saying that, I could see Penn State dogging it some this game. They literally have three weeks before they play the big 10. I think this number is also very back doorable if needed, and if Penn State comes out a bit flat. Maybe we see a Penn State 2nd string at some point. Play the Falcons
Bowling Green +34.5 – 2 stars
