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Oklahoma vs Nebraska +11.5 O/U 65
This play is not only situational, it is also based on straight power. Did Nebraska look terrible their last two games? Yes they did, but I also would like to ask who Oklahoma is exactly played themselves. As we know, Scott Frost was finally fired from Nebraska after losing to a hot Georgia Southern team under new coach Clay Helton. Southern found a weakness and exploited it. Now when a coach gets fired, it is a bet-on spot for the very next game. The reason for this is because the players on the team do not want to play bad, and show that their whole program losing was on them. We also have to look at the fact that Nebraska was at least in both games this year during their those losses. Each one came down to the last minute with luck being involved. What has Oklahoma done with a new coach in Brett Venebles to go on the road and lay double digits to a team that almost beat them last year? Well, the Sooners beat UTEP and Kent State both at home. Big freaking Deal! Last year I believe it was Casey Thompson that almost upset Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry. He threw for 5 TDs that game. Now that he transferred to Nebraska, I believe he will once again rise up to the occasion. Last year, Nebraska kept this game close and out-gained Oklahoma in yards. My power ratings still have Nebraska high enough to only lose this game by about 5 points. Take the smelly dog here and they might even win outright.
Nebraska +11.5 – 2 stars and sprinkle
SMU vs Maryland -3.5 O/U 73
If you like offense, you might want to tune into this game. Maryland is a team with some serious talent on offense with veteran Taulia Tagovailoa leading the way. This team is already averaging over 43 points per game, but their defense has always been suspect giving up over 30 last year. The same can be said about high flying SMU who also returns their quarterback in Tanner Mordecai. SMU ranks 4th in all of the FBS in tempo and they are averaging over 45 points per game and gave up over 28 per game in an easier conference last year. See what I am getting at? I think this is going to be a shootout for the ages. Last year, Maryland has scored over 35 points 5 times while SMU did it 8 times. Both of these teams will be playing at a fast pace and racking up the score. Both teams rank in the top 7 in yards per play. I do not think that it will take the full game to get to 73 so I am taking the over here and I would not be surprised if both teams get into the 40s.
Over 73 – 2 stars
BYU vs Oregon -3.5 O/U 58
I don’t care that Oregon beat Eastern Washington 70-14, all I remember is how Bo Nix looked vs Georgia, and now he has to face a BYU team that has returned all their talent and is looking for a big statement. It wasn’t long ago when BYU rose up to the Pac-12 and beat Utah and ASU just last year. The big matchup advantage here is the passing game for BYU. This Cougars team ranks 29th in passing play success rate while Oregon ranks 125th in defense against the pass. I also like the fact that BYU can step it up on defense when needed. I think that this will be another close game. Even without the talent, BYU is the better team right now and I am not a big believer in Oregon QB Bo Nix. My power number in this game is Pick-em, but I will give Oregon a little boost for BYU going to overtime vs Baylor. I think -2 is the appropriate spread here.
BYU +3.5 for 2 stars
