Appalachian State vs North Carolina -4 and ML
Return of the Mack. Well it was for the first two games. Now it is going to be fade on the Mack. Mack Brown did very well winning his first 2 games but we have to remember that he has a true freshman QB in Sam Howell and they were out-gained against Miami and benefited from playing an injured South Carolina team. Now they get to face a top 3 Group of 5 team in Appalachian State who returns 74% production and outgained opponents last year by 2 yards per play. They also have a very experienced QB in Zach Thomas who will be itching to show off some of his skills. Mack Brown hasn’t even gotten to his own recruits yet being that it is his first year and there is way too much hype on this team. They also have Clemson on deck and may be looking ahead to them. There is value on the Mountaineers for not blowing out a much improved Charlotte team. This is an opportunity for them to make a statement against one of their 2 only power 5 opponents. I have App State winning this game outright by 2 points and I also have the money line here.
Appalachian State +4 for 3 stars and ML up to a star
Western Michigan vs Syracuse -5.5 O/U 65.5 –
Last year this game went to 97 and both teams play very fast. Western Michigan lost 55-42 and since they return 90% production, they all remember this game very well. After 3 games the Broncos are averaging 7.9 yards per play and that is counting their Michigan State match up. They give up 5.8 yards per play which won’t keep opponents out of the game. Syracuse on the other hand had a tough start to the season losing to Maryland allowing 63 points and Clemson allowing 41 points. The Orange really need a big bounce back here to save face. Every Syracuse game was a blow out and they still average 78 plays per game. They were second in the league at 84 last year. Western Michigan was at 76 plays per game last year in the slow playing Mac and they also were involved in blow outs this year. I think this game will be high flying just like last year and 65.5 points seems way too low. Take the over
Over 65.5 – 3 star premium shared
Temple vs Buffalo +14
Remember when I said that I like to bet over-reactions? Well this is definitely spot to find one. Temple beat Maryland last week so they are a little high on their horses. Temple returned good production and Buffalo ranked one of the last but we can’t forget that the Owls are with a new coach named Rod Carey who previously coached the NIU Huskies who NEVER tried to blow anybody out of the water. I have to give Buffalo a pass for last game against Liberty because they had 2 road games in a row and ended up blowing the Penn State game after out-gaining them. Buffalo was only out-gained 25 yards in the Liberty loss and the score was a bit misleading as well. Lance Leopold is too good of a coach and they should fix their efficiency problem and they have a shot to do it at home here. This is a let down spot for Temple as mention before but also a foot long meat lovers grand slam sandwich spot for next week with Temple facing their OLD COACH GEOFF COLLINS at Georgia Tech. We have a live dog here.
Buffalo +14 – 2 star premium shared plus sprinkle the ML around 1/3 unit
