UNLV vs Wyoming -9 O/U 48
I got this one at 51 but there is still some value here. Wyoming has 0 passing game and they run the ball a ton. They also have a great rushing defense allowing only 2.3 yards per carry which is one of the top 13. UNLV can’t pass the ball either and have a terrible passing defense but they can run the ball at 5.9 yards per carry. It’s too bad they are facing such a great rushing defense. What I really like about this play is that even if these teams try and pass the ball the weather report is calling for moderate rain showers and double digit wind speeds. I like the under here down to 45.
Under 51 – 3 star premium shared
Hawaii vs Nevada -2 O/U 64
Both these defenses are downright terrible and they haven’t even played anyone yet. Nevada lost their quarterback Christian Solano that first game vs Purdue but Freshman Carson Strong showed improvement his last game. Nevada is weak against the pass and that is where Hawaii excels. Hawaii averages 80 plays per game and should set the pace of this showdown. Hawaii’s defense is so bad that they rank 102nd in opponents yards per point at 12.1 while Nevada is even worse ranking 116th at 11th. The average score of a Hawaii game is 66.3 points and that includes playing 3 pac 12 teams. Take the over.
Over 64 – 2 star play premium shared
Ohio State vs Nebraska +17.5 O/U 67.5
I have Ohio State 4th highest in my Power ratings but I have them only beating Nebraska by 14.25 points on a neutral and forget the fact that they are playing a night game in Lincoln. This is more of a 10 point spread to me. Adrian Martinez was recruited by Ohio State and chose Nebraska. He has this game circled and almost won it last year when the Buckeye’s let them back into the game. We know that Justin Fields is the real deal at QB and we know that Chase Young might be the best edge rusher in the business at 7 sacks already, but we do not know how this team will perform on the road in a big spot like this. I think it hurts the Freshman Justin Fields here. You can’t count the Indiana game because lots of Buckeye fans show up there. Lastly, Nebraska has a similar offense to the buckeyes in my opinion drawing misdirection and getting the ball out quickly to skilled players so their defense should be somewhat familiar. I like Nebraska here and lean over.
Nebraska +17.5 – 2 star premium shared and sprinkle
