Thank you for all of you patreon subscribers / Oddsbreakers members for helping us out. Thank you listeners for being here as well because we wouldn’t be much without you. Going to have a members page for premium subscribers soon showing other handicappers free picks.
Question from Matt Holmes. Should you cover a large spread bet by laying -1200. No. I’d rather put more units on the spread if I feel good about it. What if your QB gets injured or if it starts rain storming and the match-up changes. What if your RB decides to fumble it a few times. Too much variance to lay that kind of juice in football. I would only lay higher juice if the spread is -3.5 and I want to bet the game you will lay about -170 but at the same time I haven’t cared enough to do that in a while because i have so many other options and can stay off the game.
MY TOP 10:
- Ohio State – Played TCU and Penn State
- Alabama – Played no ranked teams
- Penn State – Played 1 ranked team
- Georgia – Played no ranked teams
- Oklahoma – Played no ranked teams
- Notre Dame – Played 2 power ranked teams and now has a better QB
- LSU – Played and beat 2 ranked teams
- Clemson – Played no ranked teams and QB issues
- Washington – Played 1 ranked team at their state
- Auburn – Barley lost to LSU and should not have. Beat Washington
North Carolina vs Miami – Never bet against Miami at a night game. Wisconsin last year was the exception to that rule. The hype and turnover chain is too much. These kids in Miami are playing at 120%.
Memphis vs Tulane – Another rule. Never bet against a smaller conference home dog after they played a powerhouse like Ohio State. Ever hear the saying that when you play better competition it makes your that much better? Well it is true and we saw it this game. I am pissed at myself for not being on this.
Syracuse vs Clemson –
Man when Trevor Lawrence went out I thought Cuse had a shot to win this outright. Clemson’s 3rd string back up Chase Brice did a fantastic job to win this game in the 4th quarter. That 4th and 6 was huge. We will monitor Lawrence’s status going forward.
West Virginia vs Texas Tech – Same deal here. Alan Bowman was injured in the first half but backup Joe Duffey did a good job with 2 TDs until late in the game. Tech was coming back down by 7 and then a pick 6 by Duffy deep in the 4th quarter killed it.
K State vs Texas – This game was slow just like we thought. Texas looks pretty legit and I can’t wait till the Oklahoma game next week
Baylor vs Oklahoma – I kept thinking I was going to cover the 24 but Oklahoma kept scoring a billion touchdowns.
South Carolina vs Kentucky – Wow were many wrong on this game. I am so Glad I stayed off of it. Kentucky is legit this year for sure
Umass vs Ohio – Ohio came out flat this game and worked there way to a tie at half then won by 16. This was a bad handicap on my part but I’ll take it.
Michigan vs Northwestern – Almost an upset here but you can just tell when a talented team is down in the first half, it is better to bet on them the second half. We had North Western +14 here and when Michigan was down at the half we bought back Michigan -10 and had a 14 point middle… Always do this when the more talented team is down at half. ALWAYS
Va Tech vs Duke – This team came to play and this team came to win. They knew Duke was good and turned it way up! Game planned well for this team. Huge Props to Justin Fuente here.
Oregon vs Cal – Huge get up spot for Oregon and they got the job done. Cal had a bye week before this and let down many sharp players
Stanford vs Notre Dame – Well things really worked out well for the Irish when the switched to Ian Book at Quarterback. They pretty much dominated this game defensively especially and the game was over by the middle of the third quarter. Notre Dame is now a huge playoff contender with Va Tach and Syracuse as their toughest opponents left.
BYU vs Washington – Well this one I certainly got wrong and so did many others if you pay attention to sports betting media. BYU looked just like a below average team and nothing like the team that played Wisconsin so well. Washington is still in the Playoff Mix.
Ohio State vs Penn State – This game went very similair to last year. Penn State gets a lead in the 3rd and 4th quarter and blows it late against the best athletes in college football next to Bama. Ohio state should be on cruise control now because Michigan State isn’t that good and Michigan isn’t quite at that level either. We bet this one correctly to members tho giving the first half under and second half over.
Let down spots:
Ohio State hosting Indiana
Clemson at Wake Forest
Notre Dame at Va Tech
Florida State at Miami
Tulane at Cincinnati
Get up Spots:
Baylor hosting K State
Stanford hosting Utah
Cal at Arizona
Mississippi State hosting Auburn
Memphis Hosting Uconn
Florida Atlantic hosting Old Dominion
Syracuse at Pittsburgh
BYU hosting Utah State
Buffalo at Central Michigan
Michigan State hosting North Western is a revenge spot
Look Ahead Spots
Wisconsin looking past Nebraksa to at Michigan
Michigan looking past Maryland to Wisconsin
Michigan State looking past NU to Penn State – I will be on Penn state this game week 7
Missouri looking past at South Carolina to Bama
LSU looking past Florida to Georgia
Central Florida looking past SMU to at Memphis is possible
Washington looking past UCLA to at Oregon. Could be a flat spot
