West Virginia vs Texas -10 O/U 59.5
Lots of people have Texas in a look ahead spot to Oklahoma but do you know why it’s not? Because the loss to LSU is still like a fresh wound and they want to show that they can be a championship contender. As we already know, West Virginia has a new coach and new team that only returned 7 starters last year. They haven’t played a ranked team yet they are currently at -.5 yards per play. Texas has played 2 ranked teams including LSU and is a positive .66 yards per play. I don’t love the Longhorn’s defense this year but it should be enough to stop a bad offense and the second worst team in the big 12 this year.
Texas – 10 – 2 star premium shared
Troy vs Missouri -26 O/U 67
What do these two teams have in common? Speed baby speed! Missouri is the fasted paced team at 87 plays per game while troy ranks 5th at 84. What else do these teams have in common? They score lots of points and get yards. Troy averaged 40 points per game at 508 yards while Missouri averages 38 points per game and 447 yards per game. Both teams are also pretty efficient on offense at 13 yards per point. I do not think their defenses are that good. Troy allows 30 points per game in a bad conference and Missouri’s 15 PPG numbers are skewed due to playing against injuries and some terrible teams. I have this game going all the way to 83.
Over 67 – 3 star premium shared
Iowa vs Michigan -3.5 O/U 48 – I have this game to 43. The last game was 14-13. Iowa has the 3rd most efficient defense in the league allowing a crazy 29 yards per point . I have to think that the Michigan D steps up this game at home against Iowa’s sometimes predictable offense. Iowa’s D has only allowed 8.5 points per game and Michigan’s has allowed 19 due to the Wisconsin debacle. When Michigan stepped up in class to Wisconsin, they scored 14 points and Iowa against Iowa State scored 18. Both QBs Patterson and Stanley will take care of the ball in this important game. Iowa’s schedule has been easy minus the Iowa State game. I do have Iowa actually keeping it close and lean them +3.5 points.
Under 48 – 2 star premium shared
Quick hitter: Cincinnati +4 or way better. Remember the UCF vs Pitt game? Well Cinci may be better than Pitt and they are in a good revenge spot here. I have this game in my power ratings at Pickem in Cincinnati so this will be a small ML play as well.
