Florida Vs LSU -13 O/U 54.5
LSU has been a points scoring team this year averaging 54 a game themselves. Florida has been winning off of pure defense but neither team has really been challenged yet. Since Joe Brady arrived at LSU, this team has been playing at a wicked pace of 78 plays per game and that doesnt factor in some of the 4th quarters that they just were able to run the clock out. Florida on the other hand has played slowly but will have to pick up the pace in order to compete with LSU. LSU leads the nation in points per game as we pointed out at 54 and they are 5th in yards per play at 7.7. Florida averages 32 points per game and 6.6 yards per play themselves and they have a better QB now with Kyle Trask at the helm. LSU also doesn’t have a great defense ranking 76th in efficiency and allowing 20 points per game to an easy schedule. I see some points being scored this game and will take the over 54.5
Over 54.5 – 2 star premium shared
Penn State vs Iowa +4.5 O/U 42.5
Here is the game that should prove me right or wrong about Penn State. I definitely had to upgrade them during the season and especially after that Maryland game but they still haven’t played anyone. Their only road game was Maryland and now they have to face a pissed off Iowa team with a great D. Iowa ranks 30th in defensive yards per play at 4.8 and 3rd in points allowed at 8.8. They have played teams such as Michigan and Iowa State. The best team that Penn State has played was Pittsburgh and they were outgained and should have lost if it wasn’t for a coaching error on the other side. Penn State’s D ranks very high even though they haven’t played anybody but this is the spot they get tested. Iowa needs this game bad since Wisconsin beat Michigan. The low total screams to take the points. Iowa is over 70% ATS as a home dog since 2001. My Power ratings have Iowa -1. Take the home dog.
Iowa +4.5 – 2.5 star premium shared and sprinkle ML
Oklahoma vs Texas +11 O/U 75
Another shootout here. Texas is desperate to run the table in hopes to regain their playoff hopes. Oklahoma is on a revenge tour with Jalen Hurts and has done well. While this total is very high it also indicates that Texas will score here. Oklahoma hasn’t played a top 60 team in defensive efficiency. They also only ranks 64th in opponent yards per play at 5.5. They have’t played a top 40 team in total efficiency either. The Longhorns haven’t played a very hard schedule either but at least they went toe to toe with LSU and played Oklahoma State and at West Virginia. Texas always plays well against Oklahoma and Tom Herman is 8-3-1 as a dog.
Texas +11 – 2 star premium shared play
