Virginia vs Miami -11.5 O/U 58 –
This spread on this game tells me that Miami can beat Virginia by multiple scores. Looking at Virginia, the only team that they handled was Duke in a majorly misleading final score. Since Duke, this Virginia team has lost by double digits three times to run-of-the-muck ACC teams. They are -.86 yards per play and giving up 35 points per game. Miami on the other hand had that Clemson stinker in the rain but then was able to beat a better team in Pittsburgh at home by 12 points and could have scored again. Miami is a +.6 yards per play and I think that they could really put a beating on Virginia similar to what we seen vs Florida State. Miami puts up 35 points per game on average and they are looking to a nice bye week after-words. Bet the Canes here.
Miami -11.5 – 2 star premium shared play
Middle Tennessee State vs Rice -3 O/U 50 –
We gave this out to members at -2 but the -3 is looking just fine as well. This play is honestly more of a fade on MTSU. Rice returns a lot of production ranking 10th in the nation. This is their first game of the year so they had lots of time to prep for this team. Middle Tennessee State this year is a very bad team at 1-5 and a -.92 yards per play. They also have a -15 point differential and the hardest team that they have played this year was Army. Rice was a bad team last year but they did finish their year well with 3 Ws with one of those Ws was at MTSU. My power ratings has rice by 6 points at home here. Jeff Sagarin has this game Rice -8 and Team Rankings has Rice -14. Unreal. Taking Rice Rice Baby all the way!
Rice -3 – 2 star premium shared play
Texas State vs BYU -29 O/U 60.5 –
Texas State is bad but they shouldn’t be an over 4 touchdown dog here. BYU is off of a hard fought game vs Houston last week and I think it took a lot out of them. Now Texas State last week lost to an improved South Alabama team at the end of the game. They actually were leading in the 4th quarter and lost momentum. This is their 5th road game in a row and one has to wonder if they are used to it by now. Now the Bobcats can be a very dangerous team. They almost upset Boston College a month ago or so and they kept it respectable against SMU only losing by 7. They also are finally healthy. -.28 yards per play isn’t good but not terrible. BYU could let down a bit here and just try and finish out the game with a W and maybe even some second string. I think this could be a little flat here and my power ratings have BYU winning by 21 points and not 29. Take the Bobcats in this situation.
Texas State + 29 – 2 star premium shared and sprinkle
