What a great week of games! Some upsets! Some undefeated teams go down!
We had a good week hitting our top bets and finished 8-7. Huge finish at the end of the night with USC, San Diego state and over Arizona all hitting easily. 76-66-2 Overall for the year. We also stated college basketball research and it is going to be a fun season. We will be talking and tweeting about sharp movements as usual as well as a few plays each week.
Florida State vs Boston College – What a blow out. What does this say about the Alabama Florida State win?? Serious questions when it comes to the playoff rankings. This goes to show you that sometimes when you handicap you need to look at what they have done recently. They are lower in power ratings because that looks at the total body of work rather than the recent. This is why Florida State was favored by over 6!! Boston College is at least 15 points better in the Power ratings than they were 1 month ago! I think it is important to cover some teams that vastly improved. This is also important in Basketball by the way!
Teams that improved!
Oregon State, Boston College, Arizona, Arizona State, Michigan State, Iowa State, Florida Atlantic, Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Ohio State, . Who are the next teams? Not sure if Vegas sees Oregon State as improved yet but we sure do.
Wisconsin vs Illinois – This game gave me Leprocy. And i apologize for anyone out there that may have or know someone who is a Leper. Alex Hornibrook made his interception quota. The Badgers really treated this like a Bye week. Rested some key players like Dixon and loudermilk. Jonathan Taylor had a slight ankle and sat out the second half. It is true that the Badgers are over rated. Or at least over ranked. They are a top 12 team but not a top 5 team.
Texas vs Baylor – Baylor looked much worse this week. Lots of credit to texas for getting past this tough spot in fashion. Baylor ran for a total of 31 yards. You won’t beat anybody doing that.
Ok State vs West Virginia – Alex Grier may have to start his own Youtube Channel like his little brother if he keeps throwing 4 picks like that. Total gunslinger. Some passes looked good yet some looked awful. The sharps did well on this bet. We had the over as a personal play.
Louisville – Wake forest – Louisvile……..
NC State vs Notre Dame – What an awful awful game. Chalked full of penalties. Some injuries. NC State is not a team built to come back from losing. They do not have enough fire power especially when it comes to away games. Josh Adams from Notre Dame had 202 yards rushing. Whimbush didn’t have to do to much here. He only threw for an easy 104 yards and 2 TDs. They played a smart game and I have to give credit to Brian Kelly.
Ohio State vs Penn State – What a game. Who ever scheduled Michigan, Ohio state and Mich State in a row for Penn State should be highly scrutinized. Penn state jumped them in the beginning but Ohio state started winning in the trenches. Penn State completely ran out of gas in 4th quarter. Saquon Barkley had only 44 yards rushing on 21 carries. That is not heisman material. Maybe it had to do with their Michigan game last week but you have to give credit to JT Barrett for the comeback. This was the best game I have ever seen him play throwing for 328 yards, 4 touchdowns and rushing for 95 yards. I still think they could be another loss looming somewhere for 1 or both of these teams before the bowl season starts.
Cal vs Colorado – Lets face it, Cal is a terrible away team and a good home team. I thought 3 and the hook was going to be enough. I was wrong there for sure. I think they are like a 6 power ranking when at home and a -4 on the road. Gonna keep that in mind for sure here on out.
WaSu vs Arizona – We nailed this one. It was our biggest bet this week. Total went to 95 points when it opened at 61. A huge inefficiency in the market here. Of course looking back you wish you bet even more but this game made me happy. Luke Faulk was benched this game for Tyler Hilinksi. Hilinski threw for 500 yards but it wasn’t enough when you let Arizona run for 310 yards!!! Arizona will be ranked this week but the sad thing is that now there is only 1, one loss team left in the Pac 12. Washington is their hope to make it to the playoffs.
TCU vs Iowa State – Did we say that the big 12 will beat each other up? I believe so. Now we don’t have an undefeated team in that conference with 4 games to go. This conference will be lucky to get by with only 1 loss. Just like we said before, the teams in the big 12 may take each other all of out playoff contention especially with teams like Notre Dame doing well. A 1 loss big 12 I think makes it this year thanks to Ohio State losing to Oklahoma. This game was all about defense. TCU actually outgained Iowa State by 50 yards or so but the 3 tournovers lost it for them..
USC vs ASU – Finally talent outweighs momentum. USC was in a tough spot and played like they should have played. Sam Darnold had 2 tds in this game. ASU could not stop the run as predicted allowing 341 rushing yards. They will be a disrupter in the Pac 12.
Let down spots –
Houston @ East Carolina – Houston took out USF
Ohio State @ Iowa
Iowa State @ West Virginia
Notre Dame @ Wake forest a kinda let down spot but may look more at the under
Look ahead Spots –
Ohio state could be in a sandwich spot looking to Michigan state past Iowa
Stanford looking past @washington state to Washington
Washington looking past Oregon to Stanford
Clemson looking to florida State??? WRONG
Notre Dame looking past wake forest to Miami
Miami looking past Va Tech to Notre Dame?? Kinda doubt it
Iowa state sandwich spot looking past West Virginia to Oklahoma state
TCU looking past texas to Oklahoma ST
Oklahoma will not look past OK state to TCU
Teams on Tilt
USF losing to Houston
Penn State losing to Ohio State
TCU losing to Iowa State
