Georgia Tech vs Pittsburgh +4
Now I know how pissed off everyone is at Georgia tech from last week losing to South Florida but you really need to look what happened in the game. South Florida scored 2 first quarter kick off returns for TDs. There was a huge disparity in the total yards with Georgia tech gaining 602 yards to South Florida’s 426. The Yellow Jackets should have won this game. On the other hand Pittsburgh has been dreadful. They played a Tomato Can in Albany the first week and got blown out at home vs Penn State 6-51. Pittsburgh ran the ball well but could not get the passing game going throwing only 55 yards. Georgia tech should be able to stack the box here to stop Pitt from rushing. I also like that Georgia tech was able to throw the ball a little with Taquon Marshall throwing 189 yards vs South Florida. I am playing against the Georgia Tech loss over reaction. Georgia Tech wins by 10.
Georgia tech -4
Boston College vs Wake Forest +5
Boston College came into this season with major steam. Starting QB Anthony Brown is living up to expectations with a 74% completion percentage and 4 TDs. Now they haven’t really played anyone yet but they are 2-0 vs the spread and Umass was supposed to be decent this year. The Wake Forest Demon Deacons have opened their season with two consecutive wins which included a 51-20 home win against tomato can Towson last week to improve to 2-0. Sam Hartmen played well in the victory getting 242 passing yards with two touchdowns but I do not think that will happen against Boston College’s tough Defensive line. What is key here is Boston College’s great offensive line vs a very injured wake forest. Wake already has 4 guys out for the season and 6 guys questionable for Thursdays game including starting secondary Cameron Glenn and Amari Henderson. I like Boston College by 9
Boston College -5
Ohio State vs TCU +13
Do you like home dogs? Especially a double digit one? Now don’t get me wrong, I think Ohio State may be the second best team in the nation but how do we really know that? They so far have really played anybody but the worst team in the Pac 12 and the second worst team in the Big 10. Now before the season started I may have favored the Buckeye’s here by 2 tds or more but after watching a little TCU, i saw a team that has some serious athletes. The Buckeye’s have had problems with dual threat Quarterbacks in the past. They do not see many of them in the Big 10. You saw this vs Deshawn Watson a few years back but mainly they are finally playing a very good team that has seen some amazing offenses in the Big 12. TCU’s Quarterback Shawn Robinson looks very good so far and I think it could really test this Buckeye’s defense. TCU also returns 61% of a top big 12 defense last year and is currently in the top 10 allowing only 214 yards per game to Ohio State’s 261. The fact this game is in Arlington should give TCU a 2 point home crowd advantage. If you take out the Urban Meyer factor I have to say TCU has the coaching edge here as well. I see this game playing out like TCU winning at the half and Ohio State having to catch up and win in the 4th quarter. Ohio State by 9.
TCU +13
Boise State vs Oklahoma State -3.5
Ok, we all saw Boise State beat Oregon in the bowl game right? That is why we were high on them coming into the season. What we didn’t see is the broncos busting into the top 20 this quickly and it is pretty well deserved how they took care of business at Troy and at home first UCONN. Averaging 6.9 yards per run and a 216 passing rating is phenomenal even against bad teams and Troy ain’t that bad by the way. Oklahoma State on the other hand has also taken care of their business beating down the scrubs of the south but they are very inexperienced when playing good teams. What this game comes down to is Boise State’s returning production and QB experience. Brett Rypien from the Broncos has played in multiple big games. Taylor Cornelius has not. Broncos by 3
Boise State +3.5 and ML
New Mexico vs New Mexico State +6.5 PREMIUM
LSU vs Auburn -10
LSU has had a great start beating up on Miami and Auburn has had a great start beating Washington but seriously, how different are these teams? LSU seems to have finally has picked up some swagger with new Quarterback Joe Burrow while their defense has been only allowing 1.9 yards per run and 4.11 yards per play. Auburn on the other hand still has Jerrod Stidham and a very good defense allowing only 2.2 yards per rush and 4.67 yards per play. I have to still go back to the fact that Auburn only returned 1 offensive lineman and will face a much better Dave Aranda defense. I Like Auburn by 6 points here
LSU +10
Alabama vs Ole Miss +19.5 Premium play
Ball State vs Indiana +14.5 Premium play
Tuland vs UAB +4 Premium Play
S. Florida vs Illinois O/U 59 Premium Play
Notre Dame vs Vanderbilt O/U 52
Ok, so we know that Notre Dame beat Michigan and the next week had a let down vs Ball State only scoring another 24 points. Was this a let down or is Notre Dame now a defensive team? I mean, Wimbush’s Passer rating is very low this year at 119 and they are only rushing 2.8 yards per carry this year and only put up 119 vs Ball state last week. On the other hand Vandy hasn’t played anybody big yet but their defense is stopping the run and the pass allowing only 3.97 yards per play. Notre Dame allows about the same at 3.95 yards per play due to that monster defense that stopped the wolverines and I do not see a lot of scoring from either side.
Under 52
Eastern Michigan vs Buffalo -5
I am still riding the Buffs on their 9-3 ATS. 10-3 now vs FBS opponents the last 13 games. Buffalo coach Lance Leopold won 5 division championships in 8 years in division 3 football at UW whitewater Now they get an eastern Michigan team at home that is going to have a LET DOWN spot after beating an overrated Purdue. Purdue had 60 more yards than eastern Michigan as well and fumbled this game away. Eastern Michigan is also allowing 7 yards per rush this year. I like Buffalo by 7 points
Buffalo -5
MORE PICKS!
Georgia Southern +34 vs Clemson
Texas -3 vs USC in a revenge spot
Boston College vs Wake Forest over 53.5
Syracuse +3.5 and ML Sprinkle vs Florida State
NFL WEEK 2
Kansas City vs Pittsburgh -5
A huge congrats to KC for doing what they do best against their divisional opponent but something really smelled about this game. No Joey Bosa, a kickoff return TD and the fact that Kansas City was outgained by 185 yards and won this game due to turnovers and big plays. The fact that the Steelers came out with a tie should motivate this team because they actually out-gained Cleveland at Cleveland by 120 yards and had 7 sacks. I am still going with the Narrative that Kansas City does not have a defense and even with no Laveon Bell, I have Pittsburgh winning this game by 7 points.
Steelers -5
New England vs Jacksonville +2
Many people here believe that this is a revenge spot for Jacksonville and for what Brady did to them last year it should be. Trust me, It’s not! I think this was more of a wake up call for New England and they should not have won that game last year. I really do not like Jacksonville’s Quarterback and I really do not like the fact that Leonard Fournette is banged up. Jacksonville lost many skill positions last year already with Hurns, Robinson, and Mercedes Lewis. I am going to go with the Patriots being 5-2 ATS as an away favorite from last year. Pats by 4
New England -2
Eagles vs Tampa Bay +3.5
Tampa bay had an amazing win last week vs Division rival the Saints. Ryan Fitzpatrick looked like a hall of famer with a 156 QBR rating 417 yards and 4 TDs. The Saints on the other hand did well but were minus 2 on the turnover margin and that pretty much sums up the 10 point loss. Almost a suprise that they only lost by 8 points. Now Tampa bay comes home fat and happy but still has to play the Superbowl team with the best back up QB in Nick Foles. This looks to me like a Trap line opening up at 3.5 and I do not think at Fitzpatrick can do what he did again against a very legit and opportune Eagles defense that thrives on turnover prone Quarterbacks like Fitz. It wasn’t that long ago that Tampa Bay had the worst defense in the NFL. Ryan Fitzpatrick is 1-10 straight up after a win and 1-9-1 ATS. I like the Eagles here and by 7 points.
Eagles -3.5
Miami at New York Jets +1.5 (now -3)
I took the Jets +1.5 right before the lions played them so i am locked in but at -3 it is still a small play. The Jets are a much more confident team under Sam Darnold and it showed not only in the preseason but also last game. I think that John Morton is an underrated OC and has learned a lot when he was in New Orleans under Sean Payton. Miami is a huge fade team for me especially after last week beating a bad Tennessee team without Mariota.
Jets +1.5 or 1/2U on -3
Houston vs Tennessee +2
The Titans have lost Delainey Walker and are very banged up. Houston on the other hand did lose a starting tackle in Seantrel Henderson but at this point I think that they can bounce back and get a W with all the talent that they have.
Houston -2
