A 1-1 Tuesday brings me to 20-17-1 on the CBB season. I’m rolling with 3 plays for tonight looking to break out in loud fashion. To receive a text when I release/add any plays, join my Telegram group!
*CBB(0.5u): Cincinnati TT OVER 82.5 vs Miami OH–6 PM CT
While Cincinnati is vulnerable defensively, their offense is pretty easy to trust. The Bearcats run at an above average pace, are solid from beyond the arc, and probably most importantly, take care of the basketball(1.4 assist/turnover ratio). Any team with a pulse should be able to score at will against a Miami OH defense that ranks 344th in defensive efficiency according to KenPom; the likes of Marshall, Indiana, and Indiana State approached or surpassed 90 with ease. Miami OH runs at a pretty average pace offensively, but even that would mean there should be ample chances for the Bearcats to get 85+ in this one.
*CBB(0.5u): Florida TT OVER 78 vs Ohio–6 PM CT
I’m not sure why this TT doesn’t start with an 8. Florida is a great 3-point shooting and free-throw shooting team, and probably most importantly, they run at a Top 30 pace in College Basketball. Ohio features a bottom 100 defense in the country that has specifically struggled on the road, allowing 88 at Detroit Mercy, 83 at Marshall, and 79 at Youngstown State. The Bobcats will try to slow this game down considerably, but Florida’s fast-paced nature will give them plenty of chances to get into the 80’s.
*CBB(0.5u): UCF/Ole Miss 1H UNDER 60.5–6:30 PM CT
Both the Knights and the Rebs feature Top 40 defenses in the country but leave some to be desired on the offensive end of the floor. Additionally, each team runs at a very slow pace, with UCF in particular running at a bottom 10 pace in all of CBB. UCF has shot the 3-ball better than Ole Miss this year, but they give that advantage back by struggling with turnovers(0.9 assist/turnover ratio). Ole Miss is pretty mediocre in virtually every offensive category.
When UCF has stepped up in competition this year, they’ve hung in games by mucking them up. Their battles with Oklahoma State and Santa Clara both failed to reach 120 points, and hell, they found a way to keep the Miami game to just 130.
Why 1H Under? I think UCF has a pretty good shot of keeping this game tight in the final minutes and making this a FT battle. To avoid that scenario, I’ll stick with the 1H Under.
