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*CBB(0.5u): Saint Louis/Iona OVER 151.5–6 PM CT
I have a lot of trust in Saint Louis’ offense even in this tricky road environment. The Billikens have one of the most experienced rosters in CBB, which should make it no surprise that they hold a stellar 1.5 assist/turnover ratio. Yet, I do think their defense, which ranks outside of the Top 100 according to KenPom, will have trouble in this spot. Iona is another very efficient offense that is even more careful with the basketball(1.8 assist/turnover ratio) and has a knack for hitting the 3 ball(37% 3pt). When you consider that neither of these teams play primarily in the half-court and both are excellent from the free throw line, I think we see this get played out in the upper 150’s.
*CBB(0.5u): NC State -22 vs Coppin State–6 PM CT
Coppin State is atrocious on both ends of the floor, yet they run at the 10th fastest pace in the country. When stepping up in competition, this formula is going to get you absolutely run off the floor. Some people may be resistant to back NC State after seeing them lose outright to Pitt last weekend, but let’s not forget that they looked virtually flawless in their prior 3 games vs Dayton, Butler, and William & Mary. The Wolfpack are going to pair pace with efficiency on both ends of the floor and cover with ease.
*CBB(0.5u): Oklahoma 1H -10 vs UMKC–7 PM CT
Both of these teams play at a snail’s pace(which is why the total is at 122.5), but UMKC is really outmatched on both ends of the floor. UMKC has been held to just 55 PPG vs Power 5 competition this year, and their defense ranks just 219th according to KenPom. We know Porter Mosier coached teams will be stiff defensively, and while I still have my hesitations about the Sooners offense, this clearly shouldn’t be a spot where they stumble. I like the Sooners to beat UMKC at their own game in rather loud fashion.
*CBB(0.5u): Sam Houston State/Oklahoma State 1H UNDER 61–8 PM CT
Sam Houston State is 2-0 vs Power 5 teams this year, and the formula has been quite simple: Muck games up. They beat Oklahoma by a score of 52-51 and Utah 65-55, and given my concerns about Oklahoma State’s true playmaking offensively, I think they can do the same here. Oklahoma State will have no trouble getting stops with their Top 25 defense against a clearly inferior Bearkats offense. I’d isolate the 1H Under because this has the potential to be a close game with quite a few points at the finish.
